Analysts will be having a field day juggling coalition numbers, seeking to present the various scenarios regarding coalition negotiations, which will get underway today, Wednesday.
Rotation Coalition:
The coalition would include Kadima, Likud, Labor, Shas and Yahadut HaTorah.
Livni –led coalition including Lieberman:
Kadima, Labor, Yisrael Beitenu, and Yahadut HaTorah.
Livni-led more left-wing coalition:
Kadima, Labor, Meretz and Yahadut HaTorah.
Netanyahu-led coalition:
Likud, Labor, Yisrael Beitenu, Shas, and Yahadut HaTorah.
Another Netanyahu-led coalition:
Likud, Yisrael Beitenu, Shas, Yahadut HaTorah, Ichud HaLeumi and Bayit Yehudi.
Interestingly, as the nation awakens following the election, the Likud’s Silvan Shalom has already announced a rotation agreement is unacceptable, and Labor secretary Eitan Cabel and party MK Shelly Yacimovitz have already announced they do not see entering into any coalition, explaining the party’s place is in the opposition. Labor leader Ehud Barak however states all options remain open.
Galei Tzahal (Army Radio) reports Shas Eli Yishai has already signaled to Tzipi Livni the chareidi party is not ruling out any possibility. Shas denies the report.
(Yechiel Spira – YWN Israel)
One Response
A LIKUD-KADIMAH doesn’t need to rotate, but can compensate the party that doesn’t have the #1 job with extra portfolios. Since the two together have 55 seats, they can more or less limit whatg patronage they give to junior partners by making them bid against each.
The rank and file of both parties, especially the leaders other than the #1 on the list, will be delighted since they have having to share jobs and benefits with the small parties. Remember that Kadimah broke away from Likud recently, shares its moderately secular ideology, and is pro-capitalist (against welfare or a “social” agenda), and both Livni and Mofaz are more hawkish than Olmert.