A poll released on Wednesday night by Midgam, headed by Prof. Mano Geva, “if elections were held today”, the Yisrael Beitenu party headed by Avigdor Lieberman will hold the key to the formation of any coalition government as Likud and Blue and White remain deadlocked.
With 68 days to the election, efforts by PM Netanyahu to eliminate Avigdor Lieberman seem to have backfired.
One is reminded the reason PM Binyamin Netanyahu dissolved the Knesset and called for early elections was because he could not reach agreement with Liberman.
The poll was commissioned by Walla News, and it shows that both Likud and Blue and White earn 30 seats. Yisrael Beitenu received 9 seats, and the Arab parties have a combined 11 seats.
The poll includes 507 respondents representing a cross-section of voters, 18 and older. The margin of error is +/-4.4%.
Following are the results of the poll:
Likud 30
Blue and White 30
Arab parties 11
Yahadut Hatorah 8
Shas 7
Labor 6
URWP 5
New Right 5
Meretz 5
Democratic Israel (Ehud Barak) 4
Who is most suited to head the right-wing camp?
31% Ayelet Shaked
16% Naftali Bennet
7% Rabbi Rafi Peretz
6% Betzalel Smotrich
71% of Blue and White voters oppose splitting away from the Yesh Atid party.
38% of general voters back splitting the Blue and White & Yesh Atid parties.
Who is most suited to serve as prime minister?
42% Netanyahu
22% Gantz
7% Barak
6% Lieberman
The poll examines a scenario of a union between the Labor, Democratic Israel, Meretz and Tzipi Livni’s party [who has yet to officially announce her return to politics].
Who should head this united left-wing party?
19% Peretz
18% Barak
Among voters who define themselves as “left-wing”
29% Barak
27% Peretz
Left-wing voters add if Livni is back, she enjoys 27% backing as head of the united camp. Among general voters, Livni only enjoys 12% backing.
(YWN Israel Desk – Jerusalem)
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One Response
The most likely result given that Lieberman and Hareidim can’t be in the same government, and assuming the Hareidim, Likud and the non-anti-religious right can’t get a majority, is the Gantz and Netanyahu form a government and keep the patronage themselves thereby avoiding the over-demanding other parties. Ideologically, Gantz and Netanyahu are closer to each than to anyone else.