IBD/TIPP Poll: Trump Lead Widens To 2, His Biggest Yet, Despite ‘November Surprise’

The IBD/TIPP poll – a collaboration between Investor’s Business Daily (IBD) and TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence (TIPP) – has been the most accurate poll in recent presidential elections.

With one day to go, Donald Trump extended his lead over Hillary Clinton, 43% to 41%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. That comes after a third bombshell from FBI Director James Comey, who announced Sunday he would not indict Clinton for her email scandal.

Trump’s two-point lead now matches his largest so far during the 20 days of polling.

Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 6% of the vote, Green Party candidate Jill Stein just 2%.

In a two-way matchup that excludes the two third-party candidates, however, Clinton still holds a 43% to 42% lead over Trump, with 9% of those responding saying they were “unsure” for whom they would vote.

The unrounded poll numbers give Trump a 2.4 percentage point advantage over Clinton in the four-way race, 43.1% to 40.7%. Trump and Clinton had essentially been deadlocked for four days through Friday, but Trump moved into the lead Saturday and widened it on Sunday on a steady drumbeat of news surrounding Hillary Clinton’s emails.

Also in the unrounded tally, Johnson now has 6.3% to Stein’s 2.2%.

The poll of 1,026 likely voters reflects a weighted response of 319 Democrats, 322 Republicans and 314 Independent and “other” voters. It has a margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points. The results are now based on the latest four days of polling.

Among demographic groups, Trump holds a commanding lead among men, getting 47% to Hillary’s 38%, a 9-point difference. And he has made up ground with women, moving from a deficit in the double-digits to just 3 points down in the latest poll, 43% for Clinton and 40% for Trump.

Trump still leads handily among all those who earn more than $50,000 a year. The GOP candidate also has a strong edge among high school graduates and those with just some college, but loses to Hillary with those who have a college degree or higher.