3 Responses

1. 1. To be meaningful, the poll should have waited until after the finalization of the lists.

   2. If a voter from Bayit Yehudi switches to Yachad or Likud it doesn’t affect the outcome of the election, which is determined by the relative strength of the “Right” (Likud led) vs the “Left (Labor led).

   3. The polls suggests the Right-Left split will be almost identical to the last election, and the only meaningful change is the rise of Kulanu (basically a Likud spin-off) and decline of Yesh Atid.

   4. The question is whether one camp or the other will offer to cancel criminal sanctions for refusing to serve in the military (or alternatively, ending conscription), which would be the price for Yahadut haTorah and Shas. If Likud and Bayit Yehudi agree (and with a weakened Yesh Atid, that is likely), a “Right” coalition including hareidim is likely. If the only option to avoiding penal sanctions for hareidim refusing to serve in the military comes from the “Left”, a Labor led coalition including Arabs and Hareidim is possible.

2. #1 do ARABS in the coalition then receive ministries & are able to attend military / security meeting?

3. Arabs have never joined a collision and have said clear that they never will join a zionistic government so no worries