A poll conducted by Mutagim – Yifat Gat for “Kav Itona’ut” questioned 501 eligible adults 18 or older, members of the chareidi community, to determine how they would vote today.
When asked if elections were held today, which party would you vote for – 76% responded they plan to vote in the upcoming elections. 13% explained they are currently undecided as to which party, and 11% do not plan to vote.
Among those planning to vote but are currently undecided/ do not know/ a blank ballot/ the rav will decide:
36.5% Sephardim
27.3% Chassidim
23.5% Litvish
7/1% No affiliated
5.9% Chardalnik (chareidi – dati leumi)
Results
Yahadut Hatorah: 7
Shas: 4
Ha’Am Itanu: 1
Likud received 0.7% of the votes, Bayit Yehudi 1.2%, Dr. Michael Ben-Ari 0.3%. 91% of respondents said they will vote for a chareidi party. If the chareidi parties were to unite, that figure increases to 94.6%.
It is also interesting that 44% of the “undecided” are older than the 35-55 age group. Among the 18-24-year-old group, including many first times voters, the “undecided” is 6.6%. However, what is significant is that 21.7% of the young announced they do not plan to vote.
Those who are yet undecided is highest among Shas voters. It appears the party’s split has left voters in a quandary. Most plan to ask their local rav.
It is important to emphasize the poll included the chareidi voters exclusively. While this may paint a realistic picture for Yahadut Hatorah, the same cannot be said for Shas, which has many a voter among the non-chareidi tzibur.
(YWN – Israel Desk, Jerusalem)
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2 Responses
1. How is it possible to get a random sample of hareidim since not only is it unclear exactly who is haredi, but there is limited statistical data available. Unlike “Who is a Jew” (which is clear on the basis of halacha), “Who is hareidi” is very hard to answer.
2. Many hareidim who abstained in the past (as a way of showing a anti-zionist position, such as supporters of the Eidis Hareidis) may feel tempted to vote over concern about conscription.
3. Sefardim have an choice of parties.
I plan to vote for Ale Yarok. I will not support a Haredi party until they do something about the loudspeakers in the neighborhood. In any case I do support the legalization of marijuana.