One year ago, President Barack Obama was barreling toward airstrikes in Syria when he abruptly announced that he first wanted approval from congressional lawmakers. The move threw his policy into confusion and the strikes were eventually scrapped.
Now, as Obama again contemplates military action in Syria, the White House is suggesting it may not be necessary to get a sign-off from Congress. While cautioning that Obama has made no final decisions, officials say there is a difference between last year’s effort to strike Syria’s government in retaliation for chemical weapons use and a bombing campaign against Islamic State militants that is now under consideration.
“The situation a year later is markedly different,” White House spokesman Josh Earnest said when asked about the prospect of Obama again seeking congressional authorization. “What we’re talking about now is confronting a terrorist group that has sought safe haven in Syria. This is a group that poses a threat to Americans in the region and could potentially, down the line, pose a broader threat to American interests and our allies around the globe.”
Earlier this month, Obama authorized U.S. airstrikes against Islamic State targets in Iraq. The militants have been moving with ease between Iraq and Syria, effectively blurring the border between the neighboring nations.
Thus far, there has been little clamor among congressional leaders for Obama to seek approval from Capitol Hill before proceeding with military action in Syria. Congress ultimately balked at Obama’s request for a vote last year, contributing to the president’s decision to pull back on the strikes. The White House said it also abandoned plans to take military action after Syria agreed to give up its chemical weapons stockpiles.
This time, with the midterm elections just over two months away, lawmakers may be even less inclined to take a politically risky vote on military action.
“I see no reason to come to Congress because, if he does, it’ll just become a circus,” Rep. Steve Cohen, D-Tenn., said this week.
There are some notable exceptions in both parties. Republican Sen. Bob Corker of Tennessee, a frequent critic of the administration’s foreign policy, has said Congress should “certainly” authorize any military action in Syria. Sen. Tim Kaine, a Virginia Democrat and White House ally, has also called for a vote on the president’s broader strategy for going after the Islamic State.
“I am calling for the mission and objectives for this current significant military action against ISIL to be made clear to Congress, the American people, and our men and women in uniform,” said Kaine, using one of the acronyms for the militant group. “Congress should vote up or down on it.”
Obama’s surprise decision-making on Syria last year underscores the degree to which the dynamics in Washington could quickly flip. The president could ultimately decide to seek congressional approval once again, and more lawmakers could demand that he take that step.
Legal experts say Obama would have the authority to launch strikes in Syria without congressional approval, though they say his standing would be strengthened if the scope and duration of the attacks were limited.
“The Constitution gives only Congress the power to initiate war,” said Ilya Somin, a law professor at George Mason University. “You could argue that a small number of strikes over a small number of days does not constitute a war.”
Obama authorized the ongoing strikes in Iraq without congressional approval. The White House offered a trio of justifications for the unilateral action: an imminent threat to American personnel stationed in Iraq, a request for assistance in countering the militants from the Iraqi government, and a humanitarian crisis in northern Iraq where militants had trapped religious minorities.
The military launched three more airstrikes in Iraq on Wednesday, bringing the total number of U.S. strikes to 101 since Aug. 8. Defense officials say the U.S. is also considering launching a humanitarian relief operation for Shiite Turkmen in northern Iraq who have been under siege by militants for weeks.
While Obama initially resisted going after the Islamic State in their operating base in Syria, his calculus appears to have shifted after the militants announced that they had killed American journalist James Foley. The group is threatening to kill other U.S. hostages, including journalist Steven Sotloff, whose mother released a video Wednesday pleading with the captors to release him.
For Obama, extending airstrikes into Syria would also require compliance with international law.
The clearest basis for military action would be a United Nations Security Council resolution. However, Obama is unlikely to get that authorization given that Russia, the biggest benefactor of Syrian President Bashar Assad, would likely wield its veto power unless military action were coordinated with the Syrian government.
Some international law experts argue that airstrikes could be justified as a matter of self-defense. Obama could argue that the Islamic State poses a threat to the U.S. and its allies from inside Syria, whose government is unwilling or unable to stop it.
Anthony Clark Arend, a government and foreign service professor at Georgetown University, said Obama could also argue that he was acting alongside Iraq in the interest of “collective defense.” That theory would posit that the strikes in Syria are an extension of Iraq’s request to the U.S. to help it fight the Islamic State.
Another possibility: Although the U.S. has said it will not coordinate with Assad, the Syrian dictator could give secret, back channel consent to American strikes. The U.S. has a similar arrangement with the Pakistani military for U.S. drone strikes there, even though Pakistani officials publicly condemn the American actions.
(AP)
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One Response
Ultimately, Obama will do what he wants without regard for the law. He knows he can still get away with a lot because he’s liberal and black and therefore has core support from those two sectors. It’s called blind faith.