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Sarah Palin Loses Alaska House Special Election

FILE - Sarah Palin, a Republican seeking the sole U.S. House seat in Alaska, speaks during a forum for candidates May 12, 2022, in Anchorage, Alaska. Palin is in two elections on Tuesday, Aug. 16. She is one of three candidates in a special election vying to fill the remainder of U.S. Rep. Don Young's term after he died in March. She's also in the U.S. House primary, seeking a full two-year term. (AP Photo/Mark Thiessen, File)

Democrat Mary Peltola won the special election for Alaska’s only U.S. House seat on Wednesday, besting a field that included Republican Sarah Palin, who was seeking a political comeback in the state where she was once governor.

Peltola, who is Yup’ik and turned 49 on Wednesday, will become the first Alaska Native to serve in the House and the first woman to hold the seat. She will serve the remaining months of the late Republican U.S. Rep. Don Young’s term. Young held the seat for 49 years before his death in March.

“I don’t think there will be another birthday like today,” Peltola said.

“Really I’m just so grateful to Alaskans and all the Alaskans who put their faith in me to fill out the remainder of Congressman Young’s term,” she said in an interview. “My desire is to follow in Congressman Young’s legacy of representing all Alaskans, and I’m just looking forward to getting to work.”

Peltola’s victory, in Alaska’s first statewide ranked choice voting election, is a boon for Democrats, particularly coming off better-than-expected performances in special elections around the country this year following the Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade. She will be the first Democrat to hold the seat since the late U.S. Rep. Nick Begich, who was seeking reelection in 1972 when his plane disappeared. Begich was later declared dead and Young in 1973 was elected to the seat.

Peltola ran as a coalition builder while her two Republican opponents — Palin and Begich’s grandson, also named Nick Begich — at times went after each other. Palin also railed against the ranked voting system, which was instituted by Alaska voters.

All three – Peltola, Palin and Begich – are candidates in the November general election, seeking a two-year term that would start in January.

The results came 15 days after the Aug. 16 election, in line with the deadline for state elections officials to receive absentee ballots mailed from outside the U.S. Ranked choice tabulations took place Wednesday after no candidate won more than 50% of the first choice votes, with state elections officials livestreaming the event. Peltola was in the lead heading into the tabulations, followed by Palin and then Begich.

State elections officials plan to certify the election by Friday.

Alaska Democratic Party leaders cheered Peltola’s win.

“Alaskans have made clear they want a rational, steadfast, honest and caring voice speaking for them in Washington D.C., not opportunists and extremists associated with the Alaska Republican Party,” state Democratic party chair Michael Wenstrup said in a statement.

Wednesday’s results were a disappointment for Palin, who was looking to make a political comeback 14 years after she was vaulted onto the national stage when John McCain selected her to be his running mate in the 2008 presidential election. In her run for the House seat, she had widespread name recognition and won the endorsement of former President Donald Trump.

After Peltola’s victory was announced, Palin called the ranked voting system “crazy, convoluted, confusing.”

“Though we’re disappointed in this outcome, Alaskans know I’m the last one who’ll ever retreat,” Palin said in a statement.

Begich in a statement congratulated Peltola while looking forward to the November election.

During the campaign, critics questioned Palin’s commitment to Alaska, citing her decision to resign as governor in July 2009, partway through her term. Palin went on to become a conservative commentator on TV and appeared in reality television programs, among other pursuits.

Palin has insisted her commitment to Alaska never wavered and said ahead of the special election that she had “signed up for the long haul.”

Peltola, a former state lawmaker who most recently worked for a commission whose goal is to rebuild salmon resources on the Kuskokwim River, cast herself as a “regular” Alaskan. “I’m not a millionaire. I’m not an international celebrity,” she said.

Peltola has said she was hopeful that the new system would allow more moderate candidates to be elected.

During the campaign, she emphasized her support of abortion rights and said she wanted to elevate issues of ocean productivity and food security. Peltola said she got a boost after the June special primary when she won endorsements from Democrats and independents who had been in the race. She said she believed her positive messaging also resonated with voters.

“It’s been very attractive to a lot of people to have a message of working together and positivity and holding each other up and unity and as Americans none of us are each other’s enemy,” she said. “That is just a message that people really need to hear right now.”

Alaska voters in 2020 approved an elections process that replaced party primaries with open primaries. Under the new system, ranked voting is used in general elections.

Under ranked voting, ballots are counted in rounds. A candidate can win outright with more than 50% of the vote in the first round. If no one hits that threshold, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated. Voters who chose that candidate as their top pick have their votes count for their next choice. Rounds continue until two candidates remain, and whoever has the most votes wins.

In Alaska, voters last backed a Democrat for president in 1964. The number of registered voters who are unaffiliated with a party is greater than the number of registered Republicans or Democrats combined, according to statistics from the Division of Elections.

The last Democratic member of Alaska’s congressional delegation was Mark Begich, Nick Begich’s uncle, who served one term in the U.S. Senate and lost his 2014 reelection bid.

Alaska’s U.S. senators, Republicans Lisa Murkowski and Dan Sullivan, congratulated Peltola.

Murkowski said Peltola “has a long track record of public service to our great state.” Murkowski and Peltola were in the state Legislature together.

(AP)



7 Responses

  1. Peltola, who is Yup’ik and turned 49 on Wednesday, will become the first Alaska Native to serve in the House and the first woman to hold the seat.

    Palin was married to a Yup’ik for 31 years, and her children are Yup’ik.

    Palin called the ranked voting system “crazy, convoluted, confusing.”

    She’s completely wrong about that. It is the most reasonable system that exists, is perfectly straightforward, and anyone who finds it confusing shouldn’t be allowed to vote. I’m saddened by the result but I don’t think many people did find it confusing. Unfortunately for Palin, for Alaska, and for the USA, an absolute majority of voters said they prefer Peltola to Palin. You can’t argue with that. You can tell the voters they’ve made a mistake, but it’s their mistake to make.

  2. This could be very bad news for Trump and his supporters. Palin ran as a Trump-supporters in a “red” state, and lost, in spite of the fact that Biden’s policies include destroying Alaska leading industry (energy). She was a particularly strong candidate since she previous served as governor. In fact, she barely even came in second place (and would clearly have lost in a “first past the post” system).

    If running as a MAGA candidate only manages to win primaries, while losing elections, Trump’s influence collapses, since (as Trump would readily agree), no one likes a loser.

  3. rt: switching to “ranked voting” is confusing in a jurisdiction that for over a century (or much longer if you count back to Anglo-American systems before Alaska was annexed) has been using “first past the post”. All “ranked voting” does is in effect ask you to vote for a “run off” if no one has a majority, without having to go the expense of a second election.

    That is why it is significant that the first choice ballots, which would have been the only ones counted in a traditional “first past the post” election, also showed Peltola winning.

  4. akuperma, the vast majority of #1 votes were for a Republican. In a First Past the Post election there would not have been two Republicans running; they would have competed in a primary first, and the winner would presumably have got more votes than the Democrat.

  5. Milhouse: In a three way race, the Democrat would have won. If there had been a Republican primary, Palin would have won the primary, but as the “second choice” ballots revealed, she would have lost the general election since a large number of Republicans weren’t willing to support her and would have voted for the Democrat. Being a fanatic MAGA candidate enables you to get perhaps 60% of the Republican vote, but no more, and even in a district that is 80% Republican, the MAGA candidate will only have 48% of the vote in the general election. Unless the Republicans find a way to dump Trump, without alienating Trump’s base (ideally Trump retires and endorses the Republicans), it is likely that the short-term future of America is with a Democratic president and a left-wing Democratic controlled Congress.

    To win in America, you need to play for center. That is how Biden won. Note that Democratic winners going back 50 years have all run as “centrists” (Truman, Kennedy, Johnson, Carter, Clinton, and Obama) and then turned left only after having been elected. The last time a Republican ran as the “far right” candidate and won was Reagan – who had the advantage of running against Carter, and had the help of a “never Reagan” Republican running as a third party candidate (plus, Trump won by being a populist drawing from his based on working class voters, a.k.a. “deplorables” which more than made up for his alienating a large part of the Republican party).

  6. Akuperma, under a first past the post system there wouldn’t have been a 3-way race. Only one Republican would have competed. And whoever lost the Republican primary would have been expected to rally behind the winner and urge their supporters to vote for the Republican and against the Democrat. The whole dynamic in actual runoffs (as opposed to the “instant runoff” of preferential voting) is very different. People change their minds in the time between the two rounds. The point of preferential voting is to avoid that, and take a snapshot of how the voters feel at one moment, on the actual election day. On that day more people preferred Peltola over Palin than preferred Palin over Peltola, with a lot of Begich supporters not supporting either of them.

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