By Tzvi Jungreis
Well, the data is in, and we have new insight into why, exactly, President Trump lost the last election.
The Pew Research Center has just released a new report, which many experts believe is based upon more accurate measurements. They call it their validated voters’ report and it is based upon matching state voting records with survey responses. Other measurements are based upon exit polls which can be significantly less accurate.
So what were the conclusions of the Pew Research report?
It showed that Trump actually pulled ahead among Hispanics. He also pulled ahead among white women voters.
In 2016 suburban voters helped Trump win. He won the suburban vote by 2 points back then. But in 2020, Trump fell behind among the suburban votes by 11 points. Suburban votes are over half of the overall voting counts. That was almost a 1 out of every 8 voters shift.
Trump won 59% of the rural vote in 2016 and went up 6 points to 65% in 2020. Shockingly, he also went up 9 points in the urban vote – from 24% to 33%.
So what contributed to his loss?
He lost big among white men.
In 2016, Trump won the overall male vote by 11 points. Four years later it was 50 percent Trump and 48 percent Biden. He was still ahead by 2 percentage points – but that was what did it to bring Biden in.
Getting to the white male vote, in the 2016 election, Trump won the white male vote by some 30 percentage points. In the last election that lessened by 13 points to a 17 point margin.
What do the new Pew statistics mean for 2022?
Although the data is still somewhat tenuous, these figures can provide a strategy for the former president to make a possible comeback. In order to regain his previous margins, however, he would need to distance himself from his previous positions of reality denials. The question is whether he can do so.
The Pew Research Center informs the public about the issues, attitudes, and trends shaping the world. It is non-partisan and conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, and content analysis.
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9 Responses
Because it was stolen
He lost because they stole the election. They won’t ever say the real truth.
Nothing in this short article about being the first to win Florida and Ohio and still lose.
Nothing about being the first republican to do the highest among Blacks Latinos and Jews (other than 4 states…) and still lose.
Nothing about the tens of thousands dumped all for Biden in early morning in many states (which is statistically impossible)
and we can go on and on…
funny to post this weird stuff as we are awaiting the final answers from the AZ audit. Once it comes out, we may have a clearer picture of who won which demographics.
It seems rather obvious that the only reason he lost is that a significant number of people who supported the Republicans for Congress and state/local offices, split their tickets and refrained from voting for Trump. The results in the election can not be explained otherwise (unless you believe the election was stolen by those who wanted Biden to win, but supported Republicans for other offices – never in history have ballot box stuffers been known to split their tickets). The lesson is that in order to win Republicans need to appeal to both the Trump base (the working class “deplorables”, as well as to the more traditional Conservatives (including the former “Tea Party” and the Neo-cons).
Is this the same Tzvi Jungreis against which a seruv was issued from the beis din Maysharim in Lakewood for refusing to give his wife a get?
Is Tzvi Jungreis in any way affiliated with Pew? Or is this an independent interpretation of the Pew report? And if so, what is his political or related expertise and credentials?
Take it easy, he lost because congress certified the election for Biden, whatever really happened with the election itself may never be fully known.
There is nothing new in this article. All the way back in 2020 we already heard such claims. But after the corruption of the system has become so blatant (in particular for this case the scientific world as well) one cannot trust any of these things.