Newt Gingrich has increased his lead over Mitt Romney in the race for the Republican nomination, yet the former House speaker is weaker than Romney with the general electorate.
In a hypothetical matchup, Barack Obama is just 2 percentage points ahead of Romney (44-42 percent), according to a Fox News national poll released Thursday.
Three weeks ago, Romney had a narrow 2-point edge over Obama in the head-to-head matchup (44-42 percent). In every other matchup of the two candidates over the past year, Obama has topped Romney by between 1 and 7 points.
Meanwhile, Obama tops Gingrich by 46-40 percent in the new poll. That’s mostly unchanged from last month when Obama was up 5 points over Gingrich (46-41 percent, November 2011).
President Obama’s advantage over Romney is within the poll’s margin of sampling error and it is at the edge of the error margin against Gingrich.
Among independents, Obama edges Romney by only 1 point and Gingrich by 5 points. In both of these theoretical matchups, about a quarter of independents do not support either candidate — they are either undecided, would vote for someone else or wouldn’t vote at all.
Voters who are part of the Tea Party movement are more likely to support Gingrich (77 percent) than Romney (70 percent) against Obama.
Overall, a third of voters are “extremely” interested in the 2012 presidential election, including 39 percent of Republicans, 36 percent of independents and 28 percent of Democrats. Among that group of highly interested voters, Romney tops Obama by 11 points, and Gingrich comes out on top by 8 points.
When looking at the combined views of voters who are “extremely” or “very” interested, Romney ties Obama, while the president still bests Gingrich by 3 points.
Who do voters think will win the 2012 presidential election? The largest number — 44 percent — thinks it will be Obama. Compare that to 37 percent who think a Republican candidate will win, including 16 percent who say Gingrich and 15 percent who say Romney.
Some 69 percent of Democrats think Obama will win re-election, while fewer Republicans — 61 percent — think a GOP candidate will oust Obama from office.
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5 Responses
For the next few months Romney and Gingrich (and who knows who else) will loudly denounce the other as a moderate compromiser who isn’t a fanatic conservative. This will improve their overall electability, regardless of who is nominated, since most Americans are extreme moderates. Obama on the other hand is apparently going along with the Republicans and emphasizing how radically liberal he is.
Any frum Jew who supports Gingrich is nothing short of the worst kind of hypocrite. This community rounds criticized (and still does whenever he is brought up) Bill Clinton for his affair and indiscretion.
Gingrich had an affair with another woman WHILE HIS WIFE WAS BEING TREATED FOR CANCER. If morals are truly a matter of importance rather than merely a political talking point, Gingrich will be outcast from this community as well.
That’s not to say you should vote for Romney either. Ron Paul seems the only reasonable, consistent candidate who is not beholden to special interests. Isn’t that what we’ve been wanting?
#2- We have never judged goyim based on there private morals – If some goyish leader was “good for the Jews” it never bothered us if his sexual morals were bad. Historically, it seems that being friendly to us does not correlate with the ruler’s lifestyle.
For the record, Gingrich was cheating on his wife before she had cancer (she’s still alive, that was wife #1). It should be noted that he has announced he has repented and seems to have been respectable for the last 10+ years.
Whether Gingrich is a good candidate, or would be a good president, is a different issue. However we should be looking at his policies – which with Gingrich is tricky since his mind wanders a lot, though based on the pattern of what he favors we would probably like him a lot better than the Democrats, and he might be more electable than some “born to manor” such as Romney.
“Among independents, Obama edges Romney by only 1 point and Gingrich by 5 points.”
Very shocking and disturbing given Obama’s dismal record. It’s bad enough 3 yrs ago when the majority was foolish enough to believe his rhetoric. But now, 3 yrs later, where he can’t hide from his record and majority of independent voters are still foolish to vote for him is truly pathetic.
#2 – Ron Paul?! Are you kidding me?! He is the only Republican candidate that even now unashamedly calls to throw Israel ‘under the bus’. He is the only candidate that I would have to consider voting for Obama (R”L) in a general election head-to-head with each other.
“Moderate” means RINO aka Democrat Lite and we know what that gets us.
Either way, ANYONE running against Obama could beat him on the issues. Obama will win if he pulls his Chicago chicanery. He has a record, a horrible one at that, and he should IYH lose in a landslide because of it.