With barely a week to go until the 2024 presidential election, new poll averages from Decision Desk HQ/The Hill reveal former President Donald Trump holding a narrow lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in every key battleground state. The data, which includes averages from dozens of recent polls, shows Trump gaining ground in states critical to securing an Electoral College victory.
In Florida, where 26 polls were analyzed, Trump leads Harris with 51.7% to her 45.1%, a margin of 6.6 points. This represents a significant shift in Trump’s favor, with a 2.0-point increase since last month.
Nevada also shows a close race, with Trump narrowly leading Harris 48.1% to 47.2% based on 43 polls. Trump has increased his lead here by 1.2 points since the previous month’s data, highlighting the growing competition in a state where Democrats traditionally perform well.
In Arizona, which has emerged as a crucial battleground in recent elections, Trump holds a 49.2% to 47.3% edge over Harris, based on 60 polls. The former president’s lead has grown by 1.2 points since last month, indicating a shift in favor of the Republican candidate.
Georgia shows a similar pattern, with Trump at 48.8% compared to Harris’ 47.4% in an analysis of 56 polls. Trump has increased his margin by 1.0 point over the past month, making Georgia a pivotal state to watch.
In Wisconsin, another critical swing state, Trump leads with 48.5% compared to Harris’ 48.1%, based on data from 67 polls. His lead, albeit slim, has increased by 0.7 points over the previous month.
The story is similar in Pennsylvania, where Trump holds a narrow lead of 48.5% to Harris’ 48.1%, based on 89 polls. Trump’s margin in Pennsylvania has also grown by 0.7 points since last month, underscoring the competitive nature of the state.
North Carolina shows Trump leading by 1.5 points with 49.1% support, compared to Harris’ 47.6% in an average of 59 polls. Trump’s lead in this state has risen by 0.4 points over the past month.
Finally, in Michigan, Trump leads by a slim margin of 48.2% to Harris’ 47.9% from a compilation of 66 polls, reflecting a 0.3-point gain since last month.
(YWN World Headquarters – NYC)
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10 Responses
We still need Hashem! Don’t rely on polls, because they can cheat every way round this, if Hashem allows them to.
@ItsallfromHashem:
1. Polls don’t mean much, especially if you look at 2016.
2. Ever heard of “silent voters”?
3. Heard about the hundreds of ballots which were burned in WA and OR? (They weren’t in red districts.)
Remember most of these are within, or less than 1 percent WELL within the margin of error. Also think about the usual type of people who participate in polling, doesn’t always represent true public opinion.
For those in NY, vote NO to proposition one!
There will be a large scale of lawsuits after election day from both sides of the map in regards to voter fraud. If the victory is based on a small margine we won’t know who won for weeks.
Regarding to polls. Trump has a history of being underestimated. People don’t feel comfortable syaing they will vote for Trump. We’ve learned this in 2016.
#TOOBIGTORIG
dont forget, 2022 by the midterms the media came up with a new tactic – to over estimate trump and the republicans and although all polls had the republicans winning with 2% they eventually lost with 1.5%
so dont get do excited about trump winning.
anyhow i think that most heimishe yidden will vote for harris and not for trump. some are embarrassed or scared to admit it but its a fact. no normal yid will vote for this anti-Semite trump and we need such a strong powerful voice like kamala.
No matter what, the Republicans always have to win by a greater margin than Democrat cheating.
eishis chayil
Really?
Trump is an anti Semite?
Care to share an example?
Kamala is definitely a strong voice.
Because a voice is what you use strongly to project a strong sense of strength vocally. Specific you grew up in a Middle class family with grass you need a strong voice to be able to have a voice when the neighbors voice their strong opinions vocally. So if you strongly vocalize your opinions with your voice you can definitely have strength.
Would you like strong dressing with your world salad?
1. The polls are inherently inaccurate since there is no good way to accommodate the switch away from landlines and the increased use of absentee ballots.
2. Historically the Democrats do better in the polls than in the election (perhaps because most people identify the polling agency as pro-Democrat and want to give the “right” answer) but the reverse happened in 2020 (perhaps since Republicans were more inclined to vote in person, whereas most Democrats were paranoid about Covid19).
3. If it appears the one candidate is pulling into the lead, many undecided will vote for him or her so that it won’t be a super-close election for fear of the loser contesting the election – only a landslide will convince the loser that he or she really lost.
4. Any attempt to poll frum Jews are futile. In part the outcome depends on how much frum Jews see Harris as being tolerant of the WOKE wing of her party (which hailed Hamas as heroes for murdering Jews last year, and which supports anti-Semitic violence in general).
eishis chayil – “…so dont get do excited about trump winning…no normal yid will vote for this anti-Semite trump…”
You may not agree with trump, but that doesn’t make him an anti-Semite. He has Jewish grandchildren, has Jewish people lined up to serve in his cabinet, had Israeli flags by his recent rally in MSG.
Harris, Tim Waltz, AOC are the ones continuously comparing the rally to a Nazi rally