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  • in reply to: what is the meaning of life #2013672
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @common-saychel “Chicken Soup”? “Who is He”? “I Don’t Wanna Go To Shul”? “One Eyed Want More Flying Lukshen Kugel Eater”?

    in reply to: what is the meaning of life #2013629
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @uju Um akshully, that’s just the answer to the Great Question, not the meaning of life.

    in reply to: young chassanim #2013632
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Depends on your community and family. In many places, you’re expected to be self-sufficient before marrying, so you shouldn’t start until you’re in your mid to upper 20s. In some places, you need to have a plan and can rely on parents to start you off until you can be self sufficient in which case, lower 20s is fine. Or there are communities where you don’t have to have a plan, which in case there’s nothing wrong with starting at 19-20. Finally there’s Chassidish, Yerushalmi, and other very frum places where a chussun and kallah are just kids that start living together at night, but still very much family members eating at their father’s table, so they start by 16-17.

    in reply to: Whats 2+2 (need help with shvach math homework) #2013633
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @Always_Ask_Questions There are quantum computers with three states, the third state being a superposition of off and on. But their math is still binary. Technically, most states in computers are determined by arrays of binary digits that are divisible by eight, so it’s much easier to look at computers as having 16 states.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2013334
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Not to get personal, but you mentioned seeing “statistical anomalies” yet in previous comments you made blatant errors in basic statistics, such as confusing the population data with the sample data (AZ and Maricopa), and putting significance on a difference that’s way within confidence levels (less than 5% difference in one batch bad ballots). So excuse me for being blunt, but what exactly are these “statistical anomalies” and how do you know you aren’t just making another mathematical error.

    in reply to: Whats 2+2 (need help with shvach math homework) #2013332
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Which notation? Infix, Polish, or Yekkish?

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2013240
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Brnovich already responded with a non-response. He’s doing the same thing that the Cyber Ninjas did for months, claiming that the mountain of data and information that they have (which shows exactly zero evidence of fraud) isn’t enough because it’s missing a molehill or two. Since AG Brnovich is the one who fought to get this audit done in the first place, he’s an extremely biased party and not exactly the first source I would turn to.

    in reply to: being in style #2013241
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    I was once a counselor in a boys camp that rented a Heimishe girls elementary school for its grounds. According to numerous posters, signs, pamphlets, and other material. It’s “Paris” that decides fashion and everyone who isn’t a daughter of a King is a monkey that copies what Paris is doing.

    in reply to: Mayor of the fate of NYC #2013242
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Don’t know much about Eric Adams but he’s been working really hard to curry favor from the frum oilom. I grew up listening to Coytis Sliwa so I’m a little biased towards him.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2013075
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty My point is that can’t you at least admit that your assumptions and initial readings of the situation were wrong and perhaps clouded by at-least-a-little bias?

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2013074
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty What part of the process is confusing to you?

    Don’t you see how your claims have changed? You’ve gone from “Fraud was proven to be committed to the extent that Trump had 20,000 more votes than Biden in AZ” to “Fraud was possibly committed so we have to do more investigation” to “I’m just going to assume fraud was committed until proven otherwise” to now where your story is “I don’t understand the process so I’ll wait for the experts. No, not those experts. No, not those either. No, those are the wrong politicians”

    in reply to: Bowling in Kiamesha #2012873
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Kayaking in Loch Sheldrake. We learn from this weeks parsha that Noach was a Tzaddik in his dor. One pshat is that he was only a tzaddik compared to the resho’im that surrounded him. We learn from here that even if one is surrounded by aveiros, they have an achrayus to try and be a great tzaddik.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2012866
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Yes the votes should still count. So do you agree with me that the audit did not find any fraud now?

    My two arguments are what you referred to in your previous comment.

    1. The Cyber Ninjas claims show nothing because the voter gap doesn’t change
    2. The findings are pretty meaningless as they show a possible human error, not fraud

    What you are saying, in essence, is that there should be an insanely high, near impossible to reach, standard for elections. That after every election there should be a months long audit of everything and if any computer is on the fritz, ballot sent to a guy who moved last week, ballot sent without a middle name, etc. then they should be disqualified. With the end result of pretty much nothing since the errors would be evenly distributed across party lines and not changing the results.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2012521
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Both of my original arguments still stand. It’s pretty obvious that this is not fraud but a common and expected error. You don’t need to understand the process to understand that a mass mailing that gets 2% of the addresses wrong isn’t indicative of anything.

    in reply to: YWN COFFEE ROOM AGES #2012481
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @ujm I had Prodigy which was the big competitor to AOL, CompuServer, and GEnie.

    Reb Eliezer @laskern Most of my Rebbeim clung to Juno for way longer than I thought it would be around. I think they all eventually got email-only services set up through some Yeshivish technology organization .

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2012214
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @syag-lchochma A handful of cases of fraud (some committed by Republicans and some by Democrats) have been found. Not nearly enough to turn the election. There’s probably a bit more out there that hasn’t been found.

    The fact remains that after an unprecedented massive investigation into the Maricopa County elections, they have not found a single case of definite fraud.

    in reply to: YWN COFFEE ROOM AGES #2012119
    Yserbius123
    Participant
    • On Fridays, Rebbi would hand out “Olomeinu” to all kids who subscribed
    • As a kid, the number of friends who had TV was about equal to the number of friends who had some sort of online service and it wasn’t zero
    • I watched as Kiddushes and Yeshiva dinners slowly started putting up mechitzas
    • Friends of mine have kids in Shidduchim, but no friends who I actually knew growing up
    in reply to: Sleeping in the sukkah #2012120
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Has the previous Lubavitcher Rebbe ZT”L ever said that people should not sleep in the Sukkah, or was it just him and his talmidim emulated him?

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2012132
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty You’ve repeatedly said comments along the lines of “OK that’s fine for Maricopa, but what about the other counties?”. If nothing is found in Maricopa which, if memory serves correctly, has over half the votes of the entire Arizona, the likelihood of 10,000 fraudulent votes being “found” in the other districts is astronomically low. So there’s really no purpose in talking hypotheticals about the rest of AZ.

    Anyhoo, on to the main point. You keep on discussing the “bad” ballots as if there’s no question that they were fraudulent. You have yet to address the fact that the vast majority of these are considered “bad” merely because they were possibly sent to the wrong address. (The issue was that the database the Cyber Ninjas used and the database the county used to look up addresses had discrepancies in about 2% of the addresses, so there’s no guarantee which database was more correct). And while I agree that it was very close and every bit counts, at the end of the day it was still less than 2% of the total ballots that were “bad” which is an incredibly small number and far more reasonable to chalk up to error than fraud.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011968
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @syag-lchochma The only speculation I see is from those who keep saying that they speculate how there may have been enough fraud to swing the election. Since we have yet to see any evidence of fraud on such a massive scale, we are forced to conclude that there was in all likelihood no more fraud than usual, probably on both sides cancelling each other out.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011943
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty First off, the goalpost movement was you mentioning other counties. We are not discussing other counties nor other states. What we are discussing is whether the Cyber Ninja audit of Maricopa County proves enough fraud to swing Arizona to Trump or not.

    We can’t hold a conversation like this when you keep fudging the facts. No, this tiny little batch of ballots was not more than 2x necessary to swing the election. It wasn’t even close. Unless the insanely unlikely circumstances occurred where each and every voter, whether registered Republican, Democrat, or other, was for Biden.

    Second, even if there’s an agreement to throw out these ballots, there’s still no evidence of anything worse than some address mistakes. I don’t know how you are drawing the line from “A bunch of ballots were sent to the wrong addresses” to “there was definitely fraud committed”.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011759
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @syag-lchochma I get that and respect your opinion. But, on the other hand, this was a very closely watched election and this was an extremely intensive and detailed audit. The fact that nothing was found significant enough to warrant a second look (much less overturn the election) should be a pretty big indication that any fraud that was committed probably had little effect on who won.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011705
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Not the whole Arizona, just Maricopa County. Don’t start goalpost movements. You’re essentially admitting that the Maricopa audit found nothing but won’t change your opinion because maybe a different county that wasn’t audited had more issues. I don’t know, why stop there? Maybe Trump won with 85% of the vote because every city, state, and county in the US didn’t spend three months meticulously detailing every wrong address a ballot was sent to, you can’t prove it wrong!

    The “bad” ballots were the issues that crop up when dealing with two million humans. The largest batch of “bad” ballots had the issue that they were sent to the wrong address. If I had two million letters to send out and only less than 2% were addressed wrong, I would call that a resounding success. So no, you can’t just throw them out. And even if you could, Biden would still have a lead.

    The audit proves nothing and strongly indicates there was no fraud and there’s zero evidence that fraud was committed anywhere else. Can we please put this to rest?

    in reply to: Australia #2011408
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    I am unaware of any rules in the USA that forbid Yidden from learning in Yeshivos, learning Torah, davening, or doing pretty much any standard mitzvah. Can someone enlighten me?

    in reply to: Apps for flip phone #2011407
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @anan-sahadi Flip phones can run fully functioning web browsers and media sharing apps. So yes, they should be tagged.

    in reply to: יששכר וזבולון on shmita #2011405
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    There’s an organization called “Keren HaShviis” that does exactly that.

    in reply to: Tish or Farbreng #2011357
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Neither? I’m not Chassidish nor Lubavitch so neither custom really has any meaning to me. If forced to choose, I guess it depends. Like if it’s one of those Fabrengings I hear about where everyone is shikker on vodka, I’ll risk getting beaned by an apple. However if the Rebbe doesn’t use utensils, and everyone is expected to eat from potato kugel that’s been passed down through dozens of hands, smush my hat creases and call me Shneur Zalman.

    in reply to: Cross Currents #2011360
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    The author of the article in question is a highly respected Yeshivishe rov who leads and tries to be mekarev a non-frum kehilla. He clearly has been dealing with a lot of these issues for a number of years and he is trying to get people to understand that they won’t just go away if we pretend it doesn’t exist in our community.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011321
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Again, statistics. You can’t expect that the percentages are going to be exact, there’s going to be discrepancies give or take about five to ten percent, (unless you’re dealing with astronomically high sample and population sizes). Furthermore in Maricopa County, Biden won 49% of the vote compared to Trump’s 47%, not 49-49. So a sample of the votes only differed by less than 5% which is well within the expected range.

    You’re right, we can’t know for sure that all registered D voted Biden, all registered R voted Trump, plus the “prefer not to say”. But we absolutely can make an educated estimate based on about a million different factors. And that estimate says that the numbers are close enough.

    You keep referring to the Cyber Ninjas’ findings as “fraud” and “bad ballots”, but even by their own report that’s not true. It’s simply minor errors and discrepancies that don’t really mean anything in the long term. Like what were their big issues, ballots were sent to the wrong address? Ballots without the voters full name on it? I highly doubt that a similar audit performed on any other county in the world will find anything radically different.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2011120
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty

    You have to think of it like a statistician. Sure more Democrat votes were in the findings than Republican votes, that’s simply because more people voted Democrat than Republican.

    Let me explain it this way. Let’s say there were 100 people who voted. 45 voted for Trump and 55 voted for Biden. Biden wins by 10 votes, or about 10%. Then someone comes in and says that a randomly selected batch of twenty votes were bad. 11 of them were for Biden and 9 for Trump. Which makes sense since a random selection will have more Biden votes than Trump votes. Now the final tally is 44 for Biden and 36 for Trump. Biden is still ahead by about 10% of the vote.

    That’s what’s happening here. Take the first finding, the Cyber Ninjas wanted to invalidate a batch of 23,344 votes. Out of those, 9,220 went to Biden and 7703 went to Trump. Taking all that into account with the total 2,000,000 votes, Biden will still be ahead by about 2%.

    in reply to: The Lace Sheitel thread #2011105
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Sorry, Am Ha’aretz here. Is this about “lace top” sheitels, “lace front” sheitels, neither, or both? I’m not sure what the difference is.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2010865
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty The full details of the report I found on a site called azfamily dotcom (“Full Report: Cyber Ninja’s results on election audit”) which links to a document titled “Maricopa County Forensic Election Audit Volume III: Result Details”. It includes exact counts for every single finding which shows a proportional amount of D and R votes in each finding.

    And we aren’t going to talk about other counties, because of a comment very early on in this thread:

    I know that if the R’s in Maricopa complete the audit to their satisfaction, and come up with nothing, I personally will be far more confident the election overall was secure.

    The R’s completed the audit in Maricopa to their satisfaction and came up with nothing. So why aren’t you confident in the security of the election and are now worrying about places that aren’t Maricopa?

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2010334
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty You’re right about the electoral college, that was my mistake mixing up how the country elects a president vs how a state determines their electors.

    The rest of my comment still stands, though. Trump would need 10,000 votes over Biden to win. But nothing in the audit report even came close to that. The biggest batches of “questionable” votes were still proportionately a mixture of Democrat, Republican, and other. So throwing those out won’t even change the final popular vote.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2010280
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty That’s not how US presidential elections work. If Trump would have lost the county by less votes, he still would have lost the county and the electoral vote still go to Biden. Even though in this hypothetical situation most Arizonians would have voted Trump, the electoral system would still give the state to Biden.

    The Cyber Ninjas report showed an exact count of Trump and Biden votes in Maricopa and the result was still a win for Biden by about 45,000 votes.

    OK, now on to the voting machines. Now, I know this is going to disappoint a lot of you, @Health in particular, but none of the hacking claims pushed by Lindell and his ilk were mentioned. I think that’s part of the reason why they buried it in the second half of the report with far fewer pretty diagrams and charts.

    The major findings focused on missing data, specifically a hard drive that was wiped and a series pictures of scans of ballots that was corrupted and unreadable. Other than that, they had reams of data and devices which they used to pull all sorts of logs and images from. They showed, for instance, that one device attempted to make a connection to Microsoft and Google during the time it was supposed to be used for voting. The report is trying to make the missing data out to be a lot more nefarious than it probably is, “The data is missing so that’s where the proof must be hidden”. They even spend several pages detailing all the devices that they were unable to get access to or devices that were wiped when the got them.

    So there’s really no smoking gun. Just a whole lot of literal nothing.

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2010248
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @shalom-al-israel

    What is “the h thing”?

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2010225
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty Cyber Ninjas is a cyber security group and they structured their report like a cyber security report. Which is great for me since I literally read reports like that for a living.

    First let me apologize, I wrote “Biden won by 45,000 votes” before checking the numbers. According to the Cyber Ninjas report, it was Trump 995,665 and Biden 1,040,774. This differs from the initial count by a few hundred votes on either side.

    The report details multiple findings that were investigated and ranked them from “Informational” to “Critical”. (In a standard security report, everything other than “High” and “Critical” is usually not considered problematic). The report showed one “Critical” and two “High” findings, totaling around 40,000 votes (of which only around 15,000 were votes for Democrat).

    Each finding showed a breakdown of how many votes it affected and what those votes were for. In almost every finding, the votes came out to about the same percentages as the final tally. So even if you would take every single finding super seriously and discount each and every vote that the issue affected, you would be throwing out around nine Republican votes for every ten Democrat votes (plus a few Libertarian and “Other”) . The final tally would be a few tens of thousands of votes less, but Biden would still be ahead.

    I haven’t had a chance to read the stuff in the report about the voting machines, so I’ll comment when I get to that.

    in reply to: Maricopa county audit #2010000
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Welp they’ve released the full report. The two key findings are that

    1. A hand recount confirms the official numbers and Biden won by 45,000 votes
    2. About 9,000 people who voted Democrat via ballots they received in the mail don’t list the addressed the ballots were sent to as their primary address

    Make of that what you will.

    in reply to: Mysterious Gemstones? #2009993
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @rightwriter That’s a good question. I do know that some Sephardim (Syrians in particular I think) are very into using red as an anti-ayin hora device, red string in particular. But I don’t know if this is something based on minhag or halacha, or if it’s just a custom picked up from the goyim.

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2009851
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @Milhouse Going to the Rebbe is a minhag, I’m sure it’s been compared to being Oleh Regel, but it’s a poor comparison. You’re going to a Rebbe to be inspired by his Torah, Teffilos, and Emunah. Not to bring Korbonos on his Mizbei’ach. But that’s about going to a Rebbe. There’s no Rebbe in Ukraine that people go to in Elul, just the kever of one.

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2009755
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @ujm The Ukraine Rosh Hashono thing is important for some people to feel a certain d’veykus to Hashem that cannot be accomplished anywhere else. It’s only a heichi timtza for a mitzvah for some people.

    I would say it’s like comparing reading a history book to learning Gemara. It’s not bitul to read and understand history, but there’s no specific mitzvah and it’s certainly incomparable to Talmud Torah.

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2009736
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @Shalom-al-Israel Far vos nisht? It’s a silly joke about the lengths and importance people put on to going to Ukraine for Yamim Nora’im. Remember last year when a group was arrested trying to cross the border like Mexicans into the US and had to spend Rosh HaShanna in prison? I find it more offensive to compare it to a mitzvah!

    in reply to: Short Skirts #2009734
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    I’m with @SyagLchochma on this one. This is a woman’s issue and should be addressed in the Bais Yaakovs, Seminaries, and women shiurim. I don’t know what constitutes a short skirt in the minds of everyone here and I’m not enough of a Talmid Chacham to say what length is considered halachically tzniyusdik. So I suggest we continue to learn, daven, and set good examples for klal yisroel and, if you’re a woman, continue to dress and act in a way that other woman would want to emulate.

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2009729
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @AvirahDeArah I get that going to Ukraine is important for a lot of people. But chas v’shalom to compare it to a mitzvah d’Oraysoh like being Oleh Regel (l’havdil)?

    in reply to: No apology yet from Bennet on Uman Libel #2009434
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    A friend of mine who did the Uman hajj said that the Ukrainian officials weren’t even bothering with most tests, just sticking a clean swab into the testing kit.

    in reply to: COVID Vaccine and Fertility #2009094
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty No no no, you can’t change your words now. Your point was that vaccines only protect ich and not du so you people shouldn’t be forced to get them. That is patently false, vaccines absolutely protect others. In my opinion, the only places where masks should be big is in places with low vaccination rates. I think the government is pushing masking up again because they see that people aren’t taking their safe, preventative medicine, like they should.


    @always_ask_questions
    There’s a lot of cognitive dissonance around Trump. Liberals are quick to blame him for the whole pandemic, but congratulate Biden on the vaccines. Trump supporters who are pro-COVID for some reason, use Fauci as the whipping boy and ignore the fact that it was Trump who helped develop the vaccines and continues to promote it.

    edited

    in reply to: COVID Vaccine and Fertility #2009024
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    Looks like we should of put trigger warnings on this thread, it seems some people are having issues with the information being discussed.


    @torahvaluesoverparty
    See “How do vaccinated people spread Delta? What the science says – Nature” for one example of many. There is clear evidence that vaccinated people are far less likely to spread the virus, even the Delta variant.

    And this discussion about co-morbidities is dangerous narischkeit. Would you say that a mugger that hits and elderly woman isn’t liable if she dies because she had a heart problem? We are weighing the potential benefits against the risk. You’re merely ignoring the benefits and exaggerating the risks. The benefits are clear, the vaccine protects you and people around you from COVID. The risks are clear, millions of people taking each vaccine less than a few dozen cases of some sort of major issue. And it’s not “we don’t know the risks yet” because we absolutely do. No one should reject a highly beneficial treatment just because it hadn’t yet gone through four generations of testing.


    @always_ask_questions

    I think it depends on the community. To add to your bullet points, many frum communities have an automatic and intense distrust of the government and this plays into it. Also, I know one community in particular where there is a highly influential member of the Rabbonus who is an anti-vaxxer. Because of this, no Rav wants to be seen as going against this individual, so this community has never had any major kol koirehs or campaigns to get people vaccinated (despite the pleadings of the local doctors, the Chevra Hatzalah, and setting up frum run vaccination centers). I guess they feel that keeping shalom and showing unity is more important.

    I find your point about social media interesting. Several anti-vaxx Yeshivish people who don’t have regular internet access I’ve spoken with have said that they “did the research”. Which I’m not sure what it means, as “doing the research” without internet is speaking to local doctors, calling up hospitals and health centers and such. But when asked to clarify they either respond with vague statements (“Many people died from it, you know”) or admit to getting it from weird internet sites(“You can’t trust Google”).

    in reply to: COVID Vaccine and Fertility #2009028
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @DaasYochid I don’t think the frum oilom has any more anti-vaxxers than the general population. We’re just trying to figure out where they come from and why there are as many to begin with. It’s also much more disturbing when you see these things close to home, so to speak, as opposed to some uber-liberal hippie goy, or shotgun touting redneck that we can never feel any sort of familiarity with.

    in reply to: Effectiveness of the Covid Vaccine #2009021
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @DaasYochid In several places I’ve seen that only 1 to 2 percent of hospitalizations in 2021 were vaccinated people. I don’t know what percentage already had COVID. When I talk about vaccinations, I mean for people that haven’t had symptomatic COVID in the last year. I haven’t seen the data, but I’m pretty sure that re-catching the virus within the year is as likely as a vaccinated person catching it. After six months the immunity shows signs of lessening and a year is when it starts to seriously wane.

    in reply to: COVID Vaccine and Fertility #2008818
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @torahvaluesoverparty I hear your argument. The problem is that even young, healthy people can still potentially pass COVID on to someone who maybe isn’t as young or as healthy. And with all this anti-vaccine propaganda that the frum oilem is unfortunately falling for (k’negged da’as Torah) there are unfortunately many people for whom getting COVID is incredibly dangerous and they are unprotected from all these young, healthy, COVID-19 positive kids running around.

    in reply to: COVID Vaccine and Fertility #2008613
    Yserbius123
    Participant

    @huju Regarding your “halachic question”. The reason no one gave a proper answer is because it’s not a proper question. It’s an attempt to troll and sow doubt and confusion regarding the COVID vaccine. “If the vaccine sterilizes everyone…. If the sterilization is permanent…” If if if! What if eating challah past 11pm causes a person to grow a bump on their head making them unable to put on teffilin the next day? Halachically, would that man be oiver on an aseh by eating challah at midnight?

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