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commonsaychelParticipant
@AriHalevi, You can also die in a head on collision wearing a seat belt, die of food poisoning, have a heart attack or stroke from worrying too much.
You will eventually die, we all will.November 27, 2020 8:15 am at 8:15 am in reply to: U.S. Supreme Court opinion supports freedom of religion #1923640commonsaychelParticipant@yserbius123, and that is why we have 3 branches of government to prevent people like “Cuomo and DeBlasio from going nuclear”, in this case the checks work, you want to be told how to live your live you can always move to Cuba, we have not reach there YET.
November 26, 2020 9:57 pm at 9:57 pm in reply to: why did our conservative news site go liberal? #1923528commonsaychelParticipantbecause YWN reports on fact not fiction or wishful thinking, Trump lost get over it.
PS before you accuse me of being some lefty, I am a Republican Committeeman for over 25 years and a former member of the GOP executive committee.commonsaychelParticipant@theprohet and the connection to drug couriers???
November 26, 2020 10:59 am at 10:59 am in reply to: U.S. Supreme Court opinion supports freedom of religion #1923338commonsaychelParticipantHodu Lashem Key Tov, Hashem send the refuah before the makkah, He replaced Ginzberg with Barret.
commonsaychelParticipant@ari256, I wish they would ask a Rov before they would carry drugs to Europe.
@Goldilock and Rational, I have a son who is on the naïve side and a gitter neshumah, when he went to learn in Israel he was told in no uncertain terms that he told not do any favor and take anything back for anyone.commonsaychelParticipant@coffee addict, well someone should tell thwm what the cash an trip comes with 2 years in prison
commonsaychelParticipantif you need guidance consult your local rov
commonsaychelParticipantIf you need a ad to tell you what to do I feel bad for you.
commonsaychelParticipantGet a life, he lost
commonsaychelParticipant@CTLawyer, it depends of what State is losing the representatives for example NY will likely lose at least one or two seat based on projections, if they combine Bowman and AOC into a fair fight primary district it would be a win win and I would gladly forgo any federal funding to get rid of one of them.
In the terms of support of Israel most the states projected to lose seats are from states that have the least support of Israel including your Senator Chris Murphy and shift to state where they support Israel, so no great loss.
As to the counting of illegals I don’t think it is so bad, a lot of them live in areas bordering the Frum areas, i.e. Lakewood in NJ, Spring Valley and Hillcrest in Rockland and the outskirt of Monroe in Orange it is a net benefit for the frum people, they get counted but can’t vote.Lastly on a hyperlocal level there will be a shift in power to the frum in Rockland and Orange County NY and in Ocean County NJ because the amount of people who moved there and the growth KIH of the frum families.
commonsaychelParticipant@Charlie, Sadly attacking the frum community in Rockland is a bipartisan sport, some of the most vicious attacks and legislation came from the State Delegation, Ellen Jaffee was a Democrat who cause a tremendous amount of grief to the frum community and we finally showed her the door, the fact that the frum vote threw her out was duly noted in her classless concession speech, the other Democratic Assemblyman who represents Rockland and is equal to Jaffee’s hate stands a good chance of the same in 2022.
In the State Senate race it was two flawed candidate, Elijah Melnick who made it a point to attack the frum community v Bill Weber one of the leaders of Preserve Ramapo, quite a number of people skipped this vote or voted for Weber holding the nose viewing him as the lesser of two evils.
In the congressional race Jones is a protégé of AOC and that was enough for a lot of people to skip that on the ballot.
The fact is that the storm is brewing failed to get the desired results and the Democrat’s control the County Legislature and the district lines that will follow next year.
BTW the population power shift is to the Frum community who will now control Rockland County Legislature after redistricting, if the GOP runs against the community they will stay in the minority otherwise they will get a shot the majority.
PS the frum vote went to the Democrat for county clerkcommonsaychelParticipant@Charlie, Sadly attacking the frum community in Rockland is a bipartisan sport, some of the most vicious attacks and legislation came from the State Delegation, Ellen Jaffee was a Democrat who cause a tremendous amount of grief to the frum community and we finally showed her the door, the fact that the frum vote threw her out was duly noted in her classless concession speech, the other Democratic Assemblyman who represents Rockland and is equal to Jaffee’s hate stands a good chance of the same in 2022.
In the State Senate race it was two flawed candidate, Elijah Melnick who made it a point to attack the frum community v Bill Weber one of the leaders of Preserve Ramapo, quite a number of people skipped this vote or voted for Weber holding the nose viewing him as the lesser of two evils.
In the congressional race Jones is a protégé of AOC and that was enough for a lot of people to skip that on the ballot.
The fact is that the storm is brewing failed to get the desired results and the Democrat’s control the County Legislature and the district lines that will follow next year.commonsaychelParticipant@CharlieHall
“Trump didn’t “flip” the Rio Grande Valley. He just did better than Republicans usually do there.”This is what happened in Starr County. After losing the county by 60 percentage points to Hillary Clinton, President Donald Trump lost it by just 5% to Joe Biden.
In neighboring Zapata County, which Clinton won by 33 percentage points in 2016, voters didn’t just swing more to the right — the county flipped all the way red.
And that trend continued all the way up and down the Texas-Mexico border, where Trump won 14 of the 28 counties that Clinton had nearly swept in 2016 while winning by an average of 33 percentage points.
Btw the two congressional seat that flipped in Florida had Cook Report PVI of D+5 and D+6 and were rated Safe DemocraticcommonsaychelParticipant@Charlie Hall there is a orthodox Jewish bloc, perhaps not a identifiable MO Jewish bloc because they are intermingled with non orthodox Jewish for example on the UWS its amounts to 5-10% of the total vote, and slightly higher in the Bronx.
The 48, 41, 62 and 93 assembly districts are majority frum and you can detect election patterns from that, if you look at clusters of election districts in the frum areas in KGH, Forest Hills, Far Rockaway and the five towns you can detect voting patterns.
Bashing someone in a Young Israel social hall does not constitute a voting pattern anymore than praising someone in a Chasidisher kavah stebble.commonsaychelParticipant@Ct Lawyer, anti Israel is the new anti semitism a/k/a anti Jew, sadly black anti Jewish sentiment is alive and well in the black community, proof the 3 Jews murdered in a hate crime in the US in 2019 were killed by Blacks.
@Jackk The only campaign who I worked on was a local assembly race that btw flipped red, Just was reading up on the Candidates and what I read about Warnock scared the daylights out of me, I check with a few of my friend who live in Atlanta and he has ZERO relationship with the Orthodox community there. He is and has been a vocal anti Israeli.
@CharlieHall, its fine I made a campaign contribution to Loeffler to counterbalance yours, I also suggest you spend some time learning hilchos Loshen Hora and the definition of motzi shem ra and toles.commonsaychelParticipant@Jackk, your wrong, Trumps team knew that the Cuban vote is different than the Venezuelan vote and that is different than the Mexican vote and that is different the Puerto Rican vote.
That is why he won about 60% of the Florida Latino vote and flipped the Rio Grande Valley after Hillary won that with 60% of the vote. sorry numbers don’t lie.
PS The Latino GOP vote flipped 2 blue congressional districts red in MiamicommonsaychelParticipant@huju, I wrote notwithstanding Trump’s loss, this is not about him, he lost, its about how the blue wave morphed into a red riptide and what caused it
commonsaychelParticipant@Gadolhatorah, your reasoning does not explain why the Democrat’s has such a disaster on Nov 3rd
commonsaychelParticipantA article in the NY Post shows that over 300,000 households have left NYC,
Top ZIP codes New Yorkers exited between March 1 and Oct. 31, 2020, with the number of change of address requests for each area:
1. Upper West Side, 10023: 3,368
2. Upper West Side, 10025: 3,000
3. Murray Hill, 10016: 2,889
4. Upper West Side, 10024: 2,708
5. Chelsea/Greenwich Village, 10011: 2,520
6. Upper East Side, 10128: 2,165
7. Downtown Brooklyn, 11201: 1,836
8. Gramercy/East Village, 10003: 1,677
9. Upper East Side, 10028: 1,631
10. Midtown East, 10022: 1,410
11. Midtown West, 10019: 1,484
12. Upper East Side, 10021: 1,506
13. Chelsea, 10001: 1,222
14. West Village, 10014: 1,192
15. Park Slope, Brooklyn, 11215: 1,006
16. Rose Hill/Peter Cooper Village, 10010: 1,002
17. Midtown, 10018: 987
18. Tribeca/Chinatown, 10013: 899
19. Midtown, 10036: 837
20. East Village, 10009: 728November 13, 2020 1:48 pm at 1:48 pm in reply to: Deep trouble ahead for the yeshivas under Biden #1919665commonsaychelParticipant@huhu all the evidence you need is that someone like Randi Weingarten is under consideration.
November 13, 2020 12:19 pm at 12:19 pm in reply to: Deep trouble ahead for the yeshivas under Biden #1919639commonsaychelParticipant@akuperm: “Given the results of the Congressional elections, Biden is unlikely to do anything especially radical about any policy.” I guess hashem sent the refuah before the Makkah, but they can still make peoples lives misrable with rules and regs.
BTW I am 100% agreement with you about the overdependence of the yeshiva on government funds, my father told me that when all this started in the 50s and 60s they were a sizable minority who were opposed to using government funds for yeshivas.commonsaychelParticipantI just saw the numbers out of the 17th CD NY, Josh Eisen spent $205 per vote for the 5,700 votes he got, i guess there is nothing worse then a fool and his money
commonsaychelParticipant@se2015, your wrong, it did have overnight , for some reason you are focusing at the national level, take Jerry Nadler for example he always won big in Boro Park from the year he was he was elected and now a unknown who didn’t campaign won BP 17,000 to 3,700, Monsey usually votes Democratic and went GOP 3 to 1 for down ballot people
commonsaychelParticipant@alwaysaskquestions,” I don’t think there was much of a shift. If you saw exit polls showing otherwise, let me know. Both sides brought people who did not vote last time.”
Read what I wrote “What is interesting is the seismic shift in voting Republican in the Frum olam”
I am not talking about exit polls in Oskosh WI. Kalamazoo Mi or Pine Bluff Ar. I am talking about right here in our frum community, and it happened, read my first post about the results.commonsaychelParticipant@se2015, “Of course that doesn’t explain the blind attachment to an immoral party over the last few years.”
Yup that is probably it, there was a blind attachment to the Democrats that still exists in certain parts of MO and secular Jewish community, the Democrat’s attracted every immoral tilth and the Frum voted for them anyway holding the nose [ with the exception of Rav Avigdor Miller ztl and a small group of his followers], We watched as those who hate us being welcome in open arms into the Democratic Party till this year they said enough is enough and swung to the GOPcommonsaychelParticipantthey would thrown under the bus in a nanosecond to appease AOC and the now 100 members of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.
commonsaychelParticipant@always ask questions, and what exactly does that explain the huge shift to the GOP for other candidates?
commonsaychelParticipantLets see who is singing the count each vote song? its every Congressional Democrat who is trailing, ie Suazzi, Rose, Balter, etc. etc. Its every Democratic State Senator and Assembly Member who is trailing
commonsaychelParticipant@smerel and withheld, this is not about the frum/ Jewish support of Trump vs other ethnic groups but the huge shift of support by frum to the GOP down ballot that never occurred before, for example Jerry Nadler was trounced in Boro Park 17,000 to 3,700 by a nobody who never campaigned. Was it because Nadler took a lead roll in the impeachment, came out against the embassy move and in favor of the Iran deal or is it a shift in the default allegiance to the GOP?
commonsaychelParticipant@Ruvain, Frum is generally used to describe an Orthodox Jew a/k/a a Shomer Shabbos, Avi Berkowitz was the first “Frum” person who worked in the west wing.
November 11, 2020 7:29 am at 7:29 am in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918814commonsaychelParticipant@crazykanoiy, you say look the the party as a whole and you will see its centrist, that is a laugh, look at the projected numbers for the 2020, the Blue Dog Coalition is projected to shrink to to 17 and the Progressive caucus to grow to 100.
@CharlieHall, any Congressmember who is gay and opposes Israel is nuts, Hamas excutes people if they are gay. Jones was J street endorsed but I am not worried, he won in a 7 way primary and if tacks far left he is a one termer.commonsaychelParticipant@CharlieHall,Bloomberg was a democrat who use the GOP as a flag of convenience
commonsaychelParticipant@Reb E & GH, this is a whole other thread about the character vs issue, this deals about the level of his support not about him as a person.
GH, the support went beyond beeping minivans on the GSP, look at the election returns.November 10, 2020 7:56 am at 7:56 am in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918442commonsaychelParticipant@Charlie Hall, the mere fact that BLM even ever had the vitriolic Anti Semitic – Anti Israel position should scare the heck out of every Jew, they retracted the statment after a huge amount of negitive PR, a Leopard never changes its spots.
As to your second part of your statement“Protests were “necessary,” the Democratic candidate for Vice President said, as “the people’s voices must be heard, and it is often the people who must speak to get their government to do what it is supposed to do, but may not do naturally unless the people speak loudly — and obviously peacefully.”
Harris also praised the “brilliance” and “impact” of Black Lives Matter, without criticizing the ongoing violence at rallies held in the organization’s name in cities across the country, nor the shooting of two police officers in Louisville. “I actually believe that ‘Black Lives Matter’ has been the most significant agent for change within the criminal justice system,” the former California Attorney General said.”
Give me a break, I stand by my words 1000%.November 10, 2020 7:52 am at 7:52 am in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918449commonsaychelParticipant@crazyKanoiy, are you kidding me?? the 17th CD is a Liberal stronghold? That Rockland and Westchester Counties, Trump won Rockland with 65% of the vote and Jones opponent won 40% of the Westchester vote in spite of not campaigning and spending the grand total of $10,000 on her campaign.
Bigger proof the the national democratic congressional sentiments is the the fact the blue dog coalition is 26 members a mere 10% of the Congressional Democrats and Congressional Progressive Caucus has 95 members of 40% of the Democratic congress members.November 9, 2020 3:56 pm at 3:56 pm in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918267commonsaychelParticipant@CrazyKano “The one Democratic poll that matters is the Democratic primary which was won by one of the most centrist Democrats in the pack ”
Lets see, Bowman beat Engle, Jones replace Lowy, sadly I think your out of touch with reality.
PS Josh Gottheimer race was rated safe Democratic from the onset, all of Teaneck could of voted for the other guy and he would have still won.November 9, 2020 9:50 am at 9:50 am in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1918104commonsaychelParticipantAny Jew who cares about Israel should be as scared as heck of the Biden Administration, read the Black Lives Matter position on Israel, and Harris marches in lockstep with BLM.
commonsaychelParticipant@gadol, just about everything in Israel is politics, from the type of kippa/hat, to the hechsher that you eat to the way you vote. a Dati Leumi will only vote for Mizachi, a Sefardi will only vote Shas, a Litvsher will only got for Degel, a Chasidisher will only vote for Agudah Etc. it is so ingrained there that a Rav really does not need make directives, they just vote because how they vote is self understood.
the endorsement of a Rav can make the difference of winning or losing for example the special election for congress after Anthony Weiner resigned.commonsaychelParticipantChanaiaL, you obviously have zero grasp of Rockland County politics. the districts I listed were random districts from across town to show you the strength of Weber’s Support. Actually there are 108 ED in the town, of that about 50% are exclusively frum so we are talking about roughly 55 districts that are only frum, of the remaining districts about 30 are half frum, mostly Airmont, Chestnut Ridge, Wesley and New Hempstead, so about 23 districts don’t have a frum presence, I suggest you go to the Rockland BOE website and look at the Town of Ramapo map and the district by district breakdown.
It would be helpful if you know what your talking about before you write your comments.
PS Lawler wiped the floor with Jaffee is district that were heavy Dem, its a loser clique to say it anti over till is over.commonsaychelParticipant@ChaninaL, Is Ellen Jaffee going to rise from the dead after the absentee voter count? How about Donald Trump in PA? Max Rose and Andrew Gounardes? at they all suddenly going to win?
I am talking facts and numbers not wishful thinking.
FYI not sure if you have the entire race numbers from Monsey so here goes a sampling:
District 20 [New Hempstead] Melnick 23 Weber 240, District 28 [Concord] Melnick 56 Weber 272, District 40 [Central Monsey] Melnick 20 Weber 376, District 60 [Airmont] Melnick 59 Weber 434
District 56 [Forshay] Melnick 69 Weber 521, District 84 [Olympia/ Hoton Bates] Melnick 20 Weber 582 District 96 [Spring Valley] Melnick 85 Weber 388
THE FRUM VOTE DOES MATTER!November 8, 2020 1:58 pm at 1:58 pm in reply to: Do American Jews care about Eretz Yisroel? #1917812commonsaychelParticipantThe greater question should be should the Americans living in Israel leave? there will be a lot more pressure on the Israeli Government during the Biden administration then pressure on the American Jews with a GOP senate in control.
commonsaychelParticipant@huju The frum vote was instrumental in throwing out a 14 year incumbent left wing assemblywoman and flipping a state senate district red in Rockland county, the frum vote was instrumental in flipping the 11 Congressional district and the 20 State senate district red in Brooklyn and Staten Island, so the frum vote mattered on the down ballot.
BTW the frum vote went heavy for Trump in Miami
PS on a per diem basis I am willing to bet that there were far more Anti Semites supporting Biden compared to Trump. Read BLM stand on Israel.commonsaychelParticipant@Charlie Hall, Riverdale is only about 1/3 orthodox, remainder being left of center so its hardly indicative of the MO thinking.
I did check Frum area of Far Rockaway and Trump beat Biden 2,3,4, to 1 depending of the district, Trump beat Biden 4 to 1 in Belle Harbor,
Trump beat Bden 4 to 1 in the frum districts of KGH, Kew Gardens and Forest Hills
These votes are much more reflective of the thinking of the MO community then an area where they only account for a third of the vote,commonsaychelParticipant@godalhatorah, I checked the 2016 results and in New Square 130 people broke ranks with the leadership and voted for Trump over Hillary and in Kiras Yoel the vote was 50/50 inspite of the fact that the leadership supported Hillary.
Just wondering if you have such accolades for those “independent minded voters” of 2016commonsaychelParticipantFrankly I would not hold my breath, Bernie AOC and company will dictate his foreign policy.
commonsaychelParticipant@Godalhatorah, Ok lets take the rest of the Greater Monsey Area, Wesley Hills, New Hempstead, Pomona, Chestnut Ridge, Airmont, these are populated by MO, Yeshivish and independent minded chasidim, Trump won those areas by 3,4,5 to 1.
How about his victory in Flatbush?
You love to quote Chazal, how about this quote acharay rabim lhotoscommonsaychelParticipant@Bored Guy, the entire Lakewood Township population is 106,352 of that 35% of the population is under the age of 18 making the the 18 plus population 69127. Factor in about 4000 non citizens being in the total eligible voter to about 65,000. Actual number of registered voters in Lakewood 48537 and that including ALL residents Jewish and not Jewish
commonsaychelParticipant@Gadolhatorah, for years we were captive to the Democaric machine, BH we finally broke the chains to the DEMS
commonsaychelParticipantHashem sent the refuah before the makkah, a net change of one senator and both new Dem senators are moderates, at least 15 seats will flip red forcing Pelosi to compromise.
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