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Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant
RebE: between Rashi and Tosfas whether to place the mezuza horizantialy or verticaly
your compromise is that you have a mezuza at the angle that nobody likes. We just put 2 mezuzot. Or you can have 2 entrances and multiple rooms with mezuzot at random angles. Or no mezuzot, as shalom bais is a bigger segulah than mezuzah.
CTLawyer: ‘uninvolve’ your families
There is another wise advice – let (mothers)-in-laws take a position to support the other side of the family in the dispute.
One old book on ethnic psychology in the chapter on Jews says that the Jewish families differ as, instead of each person following advise given to him specifically, start all discussing roles of everyone else. Like this room.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon – I just googled that Lakewood Rabbonim called for various safety measures and reduced fesitivities. Are you saying that people disregarded that? I presume you simply saw people who came and did not see people who did not come. And those who came are not careful all the time, so half were already immune. Where I live, there is a pretty representative group of people from Lakewood, some recent arrivals, and while a larger number of them walking maskless is larger than in other populations, there are a lot who are complying with government and Rabbi’s orders.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon, how do you know it is “in spite” and not because many were careful? Also, with elderly people getting vaccinated, b’ezrat Hashem, there will be less visible signs
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliya, I am the center. Everyone on the right of me is a Nazi, everyone on the left of me – a Commie. Try using this attitude, it really works! Common is mistaking mask wearing for left-of-centre.
Seriously speaking, there are multiple dimensions in politics – economic, social, international. For example, Israeli haredi parties are on the right are on the right socially, but on the left economically. US 2-party system forces people into two large camps, which has a lot of benefits, but clarity of mind is not one of them.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE >> The rich use more government infrastructure, so they need to pay more taxes.
I agree, this is a great way to estimate. Well, rich would pay more in taxes even without progressive taxation, just as a percentage of their higher income. What do we want from the government? some protection is per person – and that should be a “hetzi shekel”, same amount for everyone. Life has the same value. Other protection is for property – and that should be progressive: the more property someone has, the more he benefits from the government.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantA medical observation: there are several esteemed CR mebers who have enormous erudition and chesed in some aspects – some in Midrashim, others in Science, but then fall to pretty generic unsupported statements when Pres Trump’s shadow appears in the topic. We should stop worrying about long COVID and start worrying about, lo aleinu, long TDS. Refuah Shleimah.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliyah: Trump haters spew easily debunked ‘motzi shem ra’ too.
Why don’t we all stop? This is a Jewish forum, after all. I don’t think halakha allows being first in lying or second. I suggest making genuine arguments, rather then repeating what you saw on another channel.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantem, not sure where your partner is holding, but right now you can go through Pesach – from Hagada to cleaning and product kashrus. Use zoom/whatsapp to review the labels, matza quality and maybe even search for missed hametz 🙂
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantGadol,
2017 tax law had specific goals. It was, after all, a _tax_ law. You may disagree with them. fine.
Current is the “covid relief” bill that incorporates numerous policy items. News items discuss checks to taxpayers, leaving the policy almost unmentioned. That is my objection here. I am not discussing policy preferences.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE,
according to my quick test, you can cram 25K bills into a cubic ft. You can re-test at home using your stimulus funds.I don’t usually get payoffs in egg boxes, what is the size used by meir’s generous donors?
PS shoebox dollar carrying capacity was litigated in Brooklyn District Court in 2005 during Gotti trial.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCTLawyer, you are right – some states won, some lost, with -0.4% on average accordin to today’s WSJ. Here is their list from the bottom up to -2%: several big R- states among quite some of D-s:).
Alaska Oregon Hawaii North Dakota Nevada (-9) Florida (-8) Texas (-7) Montana Louisiana Oklahoma (-4) West Virginia Minnesota Connecticut (-2) New Hampshire Pennsylvania New York
here is the top down to +3%, not overwhelmingly D- or R-:
Arizona (-40) Nebraska (-12) Rhode Island Vermont Alabama Colorado South Dakota Utah IdahoI am not sure what is a fair way to help out several bottom states, maybe by supporting their struggling industries, looks like hospitality and oil?, or by indeed giving all states some reasonable amounts. Total US state revenue is $2.1T, local is $1.6T. So, $400B would be 10% of their total budget. This seems out of proportion of the problem – there are only 7 states with this type of reduction.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE: The rich do not grow the economy, if they don’t do capital investment to provide jobs.
Agreed. And, presumably, that is what they do. You are quoting someone who tries to convince you that “at this moment”, rich are not using their money productively (buybacks?!) – and thus we should take it from them and do better. I know Hashem decides who is rich, but I don’t think he delegated this to the federal government.
Either this is “partially correct” information – do we fully know where money goes – or, for some reason, investors temporarily are not investing. Maybe they feel that it is too risky or there is less incentive due to anticipated taxes, or there are less taxes in other countries. Either way, it is either a temporary rational decision, or something that can be fixed by better economic policies. For example, Obama was threatening companies that moved headquarters from US with no effect, Trump reduced corp taxes and companies came back.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantP>vaccine doesn’t increase a chance of a mutation. it increases non-mutations’ demise but the probability of a mutation occurring not only doesn’t increase, it actually decreases.
We often use similar expressions. Wind “blows”, economy grows. We have “yad Hashem”, etc.
To be precise with language, a half-baked vaccine or a half-baked vaccination increases a chance that a mutation that can survive the vaccine takes over the world.Scenario 1: everyone is vaccinated quickly, virus propagation decreases rapidly, and it stays in small pockets in remote areas with small chances of mutation. (number of mutations is proportional to number of virus available = (number of people carrying it) X (virus per person)
Scenario 2: partial vaccination with fixed vaccine. Rt less than 1, say 0.98. Amount of virus slowly decreases, while having a lot of chances to mutate. The less there is of the virus, the less careful people are, the more chances for the virus to stay in the game. Each mutation that can fool the vaccine will have higher chance to survive, so while overall prevalence is decreasing with increasing resistance. At some point, it can get to a mutation that vaccine is not helping against, it then starts propagating fast because people are not careful, so it ends up[ with mutation “growing”
Scenario 3: mRNA vaccine will be quickly re-targeted, this is being tried right now, and surveillance will identify new mutations quickly.
Scenario 4: Russians and Chinese come up with stronger strains that do not kill only people who drink vodka or eat bats. L’Chaim and bono appetito.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY >> Technically, it would take longer. Unless individuals in the home would isolate from each other as well.
You are right. That is why it takes a kid to observe that the solution is technically simple – everyone stays by themselves for 2 weeks … the key being everyone. Of course, this is not feasible, but the ideal looks good.
This is almost like Bradbury’s Sound of Thunder, where one wrong step changes history. Think of it, the guy who either ate the bat or threw it in the garbage in the lab did a similar thing.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantakuperma, interesting comparison w/ Reagan.
Reagan had very specific ideas that he was able to articulate and lead others with that.
Biden lacks these, although, I would agree that he has some principles that he was able to articulate and can use to guide his positions even if he is not fully there.But someone would need to keep him in check. This is a favor that media does to Republicans, but not always to Democrats. Obama would have benefited from having his policies discussed in the open. His intuition for a beer summit was a good one.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMadeAliya is asking a good question – where is the boundary for risk? What does Gemora mean by “saving one life = saving the whole world”. I understand halakhic guidelines as what is seen as normal in daily activity. This is, of course, relative. There were times during human history where COVID would not be considered much comparing with damage by other illnesses and by people to each other ….
But before doing a cut-off, we need to first order threats according to their danger and describe costs of preventing them, and then apply some limits based on danger and costs. Naturally, Jewish considerations might be different from US government .. for example, there is an issue of your own decision in a famous case where you are at the wheel of a train that is going to hit 5 people, are you allowed to turn to the different track where you will hit “just” 1 person…
but, back to basics:
it seems that current COVID dangers are way over car crashes and flu. So, it is worth paying attention to before addressing flu.
what about costs – many here listed mental, learning, societal costs. Ok, so let’s list what we can do to address COVID sorting from those that are easy on people. At the same time, some might be machmir especially on themselves if they value their Yiddishkeit.Some simple ideas, tell me whether you are doing them or are they high maintenance?
– open windows in shul and school
– not flying for vacation
– ordering delivery from the store instead of going there
– learning with your child for one day a week, or forming a small group with neighbors, instead of sending to a crowded school
– going one time less to shul, or not talking there, or not staying for kiddushSome of this may require a small effort or even cots, but, I think, not more than shlepping to buy shmurah matza or buying an esrog mehadrin. Presumably, those who are not machmir in this, simply do not consider this a mitzvah, but just a consideration that they can entertain lightly “how about the flu”, rather than asking shailos and learning tosafos.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE, not sure whether these numbers are going … but
$1.9T is 19 thousands TONS of $100s – not counting the weight of the boxes! – too heavy for Hunter to sneak it out on his own.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantre: Israeli matzos. Let’s not bad mouth it.
We should not confuse actual quality and market forces. I recall a story that some Americans used to sneer at Sifrei Torah imported from Europe – it was of low quality. European view was: where else can you sell a low-quality Sefer if not in America?!
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE: It did not affect the economy to invest in capital enhancements by increasing jobs but used for stock buy back.
Look, I think we need to be humble here. I am not an economist, and possibly you are none also. And even if we were, “best of the economists to Gehinom” ^BS^BS, I mean, “predicted 10 out of last 5 recessions”. So, any smart economist can convince us with some magical thinking about “no inflation”, “just buying back stock”,”invest in the future”. We have no idea whether this arguments are true or they simply highlight one part of the picture, while ignoring another, on purpose or not.
So, I am always trying to look at simplest fundamentals: when you “tax the rich” in US, you forcibly take money from those who earned it, mostly thru business, rather than just inheritance, and give it to someone else who (a) needs it, (b) is not so productive. So, you want to take as little as possible and also give it to the right people who need it with right incentives.
With that said, Trump’s policies achieved improved employment for many disadvantaged groups – that is better help than welfare [omit nonsense that improvement was at the same rate as during Obama – Obama’s rate was from peak of unemployment to good economy 2 times longer than usual, and worse if you count broader measures due to many people going off-market, while Trump took it from nominally good employment to below “natural rate” of unemployment and into pockets of long-term minority unemployment. Just to illustrate the idea – decreasing unemployment from 10% to 8% is not very helpful, but from, say 2% to 0% would be a miracle].
So, now, government is taking a big chunk of money (and we’ll pay for that somehow, of course) and starts giving them away to all kind of interest groups, despite a diminished need for help. How is that good? Why would a long-term senator Biden is better in “investing” money than all businessmen he is taking them from. If he was “on the wrong side of every issue” in foreign policy (al pi Bob Gates), do you think he is better at domestic?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantThe way such bills are popular is well understood in theory: benefits are specific, while costs are diffused. One person sees $1,000 for people w/ children, great! Another – $1,000 for people w/out children, also great! Charlie is seducing us by $2B for private schools. Cool. At the same time, cost of each item is insignificant per tax-payer comparing with a visible benefit, and is also claimed to happen sometime later. This is how every avoda zara/yetzer hara works – shows you an immediate free miracle with the hidden cost later.
If someone, for some reason, wants to see his personal benefit, you can count whether you get to $6,000 per person, including children, that this bill costs. You might say, CTLawyer does not mind this bill. But then, consider whether CTLawyer could keep his money and spend on tzedokah himself.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> “virus naturally mutates toward that group”
> another one who thinks covid has a brain.This is a good illustration how we sometimes misunderstand reading old books. Someone reading these lines from another time period will report that 21st century Jews had a machloket whether viruses have a brain.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantYt, I presume you did not do it in the South … I once left a purse on a ledge (not on Shabbat) in a building, came back 2 days later, it was still there.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY, ujm, My understanding is that it is not yet proven that vaccines reduce spreading, but there are indications that it will. The main effect would be not just effect per person, but overall reduction in virus prevalence. So, until the time rates start going down, personal benefit from the vaccine will have counter-balanced by increase in propagation if the vaccinated will become significantly less cautious. To illustrate, a cautious 80-y.o. has almost 0 chance of getting sick. A non-cautious vaccinated 80 y.o. has some chance.
It seems that society has barely enough will-power to become more cautious when rates are high and then relax when it just starts decreasing. I think countries like NZ keep it at much lower level by immediately ratching up protection when there is an arrival of a new case (not that Us is an island, of course). As a kid put it nicely “if the whole world would stay home for 2 weeks, COVID will be gone”.
participant> naturally mutates
Ok, looks like you cleared it out. Sorry for a shorthand. The effect of selection is that virus variant that has best chances to propagate becomes prevalent. Based on current situation, it would be a variant that gets into 15-60 year olds, grows slowly without causing immediate symptoms. the more chances these variants will have to interact with vaccinated people, the higher chance that it will mutate to avoid vaccines.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCharlie, $2.7B in private school money from D-s is indeed remarkable
to compare, 2020 bill had $42B for schools,
of K-12, 70 percent went to public schools and 30 percent went to private or charter schoolshere are some items in the bill, as reported by covidmoneytracker:
Expand Child Tax Credit from $2,000 to $3,000 ($3,600 for children under age 6) and make it fully refundable for one year $110 billion
Expand Earned Income Tax Credit to childless adults for one year, tripling the credit, and include those aged 19-24 and over 65. Permanently allow recipients to have more investment income and expand the EITC in territories $23 billion
[ 2 policies above – for children for childless people, basicly to anyone]Provide grants to multi-employer pension plans and change single-employer pension funding rules $58 billion
Expand Affordable Care Act subsidies by reducing the maximum cost of insurance plans $34 billion
Increase base Medicaid match to states that newly expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act $16 billion
Allow states to expand Medicaid coverage for prisoners close to release and for pregnant and postpartum women for 5 years $9 billion [no breakdown between these 2 groups 🙂Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantI am not sure who the President is right now, but the next President will be serving his second term anyway.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> you care less about those who died of Influenza
My kids scored one win when talking with a friend with a non-mask father – the other kid ventured a thought that there are more people dying from car accidents than from COVID. When they jointly checked the numbers, that kid started going to shul in a mask next week and soon even father started wearing a turtleneck where he could hide his chin.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE, I am not denying that there is suffering, but the numbers are:
U6 unemployment 11.1% – same as in Jan 2015
U5 – 7.4% – same as in 2014
Appliances shipments are delayed due to high demand. Many people report inability to find repair and maintenance workers.I am all for helping those who are in need, including providing them with job opportunities, rather than using pandemic as an excuse to push socialist policies. As was mentioned here, $600B compromise bill had all help that was needed and got no interest. To compare $900B bill that was not targeted due to speed and confusion of last spring was good enough to support country through the year.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> people who are more religious generally vote republican.
I don’t want to start another flame war, but calling one group of observant Jews “more religious” than another is not a good form. I do agree that majority of more conservative Jews vote Republican – despite benefitting from D- redistribution policies. At the same time, more “liberal” (in American sense, not in classical liberal) observant Jews are split about 50-50 – despite benefitting from R- pro-business and pro-Israel policies.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMarbim, a great quote, thanks a lot! And a great nick.
This fulfils my weekly quota of positives.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantPose a question or a topic that is possible for both you to research in advance of a call or zoom and then compare notes.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCTLawyer, NYT Mar 9,
By some measures, the states ended up collecting nearly as much revenue in 2020 as they did in 2019. A J.P. Morgan survey: revenues last year were down just 0.06 percent from 2019
Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center: total state revenues from April through December were down just 1.8 percent from the same period in 2019.their caveat: “We know that local governments are doing far worse than the states,” said Lucy Dadayan, a senior research associate at the Tax Policy Center.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantSyag, I apologize if I misunderstood you.
We are telling you that it is not OK to have 90% of people infected (which I do not think is correct) and you seem to respond that we seem to live in small communities. I thought this is in response to my concern about your people, but it seems that it was unrelated.Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY> I guess you are oblivious to the tremendous damage which was done by locking down
I am not oblivious. There are people for whom it is easier to be safer, there are others that not.
I am just saying that there are things each of us individually can do to improve things. I listed some options, and asked you to check whether they are possible. In response, I get inane generic statements.I see people in some shuls here disregarding rules also. In one place, apparently Rabbonim require masks inside. So, a bunch of them get out and take masks off and walk without them. The Rav goes back in a mask and sometimes someone even goes near him and continues talking to him without it. Talking about Maaseh Rav.
Latest example – non-haredi Israelis over 50 are now vaccinated/got infected at 98% rate, hareidi and Arab at 80+% (so your “90%” is not everywhere). What stops that community to go get a free vaccine, especially with being in greater risk and Rabbis approving it? You can’t resolve the problem unless you admit it first.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcharlie – first COVID bill was smaller and it was during an actual emergency. It might have been better if it were targeted, but there was no time to do that. It achieved the goal. Current bill is developed after month of careful planning and the emergency is not there. You know that and post the opposite for some reason I can not fathom.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantSyag>I’m guessing you and AAQ live in some relatively small jewish communities.
Syag, are you an anti-semite?! You are implying that a large Jewish community means disregard for human health and, accordingly, high infection rates. I reject this definition. Rahmanut is an identifying quality of Jewish people according to Gemorah. If you live in a place where it is lacking, then you live in a small Jewish community.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantRebE – could you point me to where is a lack of demand?
shipments of many durable good are behind due to factories not being able to fulfil the orders.Some of the industries that are in distress – food, hospitality, education – partially restructured to deliveries, partially is healthy (literally – when people cook more at home), and I am on board with helping the rest of it.
I really do ont understand full accounting of this bill. Reports I saw try to combine items into innocent sounding categories. What do you think about $450b to states? states collected same taxes as last year. They may have higher expenses due to COVID, but they do not seem to try to change anything – they continue requiring all kind of paperwork as before, running schools under the same rules. For example, I inquired with my state senator whether they planned to increase enrollment into online public schools to compliment struggling local schools. He liked the idea, passed it on, and then sheepishly said “there is too much local opposition”.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantMathematically, changing clothes is just a humra on checking pockets – you change your pockets instead of checking them, and clothes are simply attached to pockets.
The cheapest and fool-proof method is to simply cut the pockets out. Now, every time you want to put something in your pockets, you will be reminded of Shabbos.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantR Sacks Z’L spoke movingly about his teacher R Nachum Rabinowitz, who in turn had a semicha from Ner Isroel and PhD in statistics. (aside: R Rabinowitz writings on use of probabilities are breath-taking).
R Sacks is a universalist, most reminding of R Shimshon Hirsh. He is able to put Torah learning in terms that can be understood – and valued – by nations of the world, and explain to Jews how Torah relates to modern life and modern philosophies, something that this Coffee Room often concerns about.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon, I don’t think I disagree with you. I am pointing out that as a politician he needs to be held to a higher standard when he is using power of his office than people in private businesses. The difference is sometimes blurred.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantujm, DY, I hear you. I am talking about what we do now. Lakewood changed and now serves a different function, agreed.
The question is – do we now need a place where people can learn the way R’ Kotler envisioned. Maybe we don’t. Maybe we do not understand what and why he wanted, as we are satisfied with the new American way. Maybe there are other places now that provide hat function, the way Torah centers moved from Bavel to Europe. Soliciting your opinion.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantsmerel >> assuming the predictions of inflation and other problems this will cause don’t pan out
it does not matter what will be exact path that borrowed money take. The money has to come from somewhere.
Economy is a complicated thing, so it is easy to develop a magical view – yes, we can borrow, but then we have new means to control inflation, etc, etc. If there is a magical way to print money for nothing, then print this money to return them to the rightful owners (aka as tax cuts) or save this capability for the next “unexpected” event. If some insist on new or changing social programs – fine, just have a public discussion about it rather than running a candidate that does not say anything and then pretend it is “emergency spending”.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipant>> gedoilim have clearly pointed to … when the europeans closed the border rosh hashana time
I did not hear this dvar Toirah. Which gedolim pointed out this interesting connection?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantCommon, All I was asking you to describe what you saw. Just curious. Are you saying that the experience is such that it is impossible to describe? Would I also need to eat hazer to have an opinion whether it is kosher?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon, reya is indeed better. That is why I am asking for your precious testimony – what did you see. You just said “power trip”, but did not specify what exactly you saw, except when you personally had a mask one, you had no problem. I don’t see there is a lot of gray area, maybe except these:
1) nose under mask, but used to support the mask so that it increases non-filtered air access
2) occasional to longer eating
3) masks made out of materials that would not be considered tzanua if worn on the legAlways_Ask_QuestionsParticipantDY> that was before the Verrazzano
Good point. Probably also better cars, cheaper gas, and more reckless driving. It was a great idea, too bad it failed.
What is the next place that could restore R’ Kotler’s dream of quality learning and still be within driving distance from NYC? Amish country? Rural CT? Or somewhere where flying with Spirit is affordable?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon, good news – if you are a female after college and before nursing home, or a male of any age, the governor will not be a threat to you!
when we look at behaviors of various celebrities, I think, we need to differentiate between those in private businesses and in public office. It is one thing to leverage your business skills or simply money (within legal limits), it is different to use power of the people and government monopoly on power and certain jobs. The latter is much bigger corruption of the society. CEOs of public companies is a case somewhat in between, and we can just hope that shareholders will do the right thing.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantcommon – indeed. That proposal covered $600B, so at least $1.3T of the bill is partisan payout.
I wonder whether those who support these $1.3T for policy or political reasons are OK with the policy making via “emergency funding”. Anyone concerned about the integrity of the system? ends justify the means?
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantmerG > how many egg boxes full of hundreds is a trillion dollars
and this is exactly why US does not print larger bills – to prevent cash fraud. EU has higher value bills for your convenience. Your gvir will soon hit with higher taxes and regulations. Your independent doctor already sold his business to the hospitals after Obamacare, so do not spend the tzedokah you get now in one shot.
RebE: could you define the limit for your theory that printing money makes everything grow? do you see downside at some point, or should US redistribute more?
at this point, there are narrowly defined segments of economy that are under pressure. Even many hospitality workers turned into delivery work.
Another example: states came out even on collected taxes in 2020 on average. What is then the point of giving federal money to states
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantI thought R’ Kotler positioned Lakewood so that it would be at respectable distance from NYC to enable learning without distractions.
Always_Ask_QuestionsParticipantfollick2, so you will increase dependency of your community on welfare payments and hope that this will last?
Not exactly a direct comparison, but I see a lesson here: when a new PM Menachem Begin offered full subsidy to yeshivot, R Schach advised against taking it. His reasoning: yeshivot will come to fully rely on government funds, and when a new government comes and reduces subsidies, they will go bankrupt.
Similarly here, relying on government to support you because you are poor will keep you poor for the time being. People who could have paid your Rebbe directly will have less omney too. Then, when someone else’s money will run out, you will not be able to support yourself.
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