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June 16, 2011 7:06 pm at 7:06 pm #597442ZeesKiteParticipant
I was advised by counsel to initiate this thread. All weather related. Let’s start.
Meteorologists predict there will be lots of weather for the remainder of today. People who suffer from the weather are advised to use caution.
June 16, 2011 7:12 pm at 7:12 pm #778803WolfishMusingsParticipantWhether or not I will be able to weather the weather depends on whether or not the weather is weatherable.
The Wolf
June 16, 2011 7:12 pm at 7:12 pm #778804deiyezoogerMemberThey are also predicting that tonight will be dark but will light up around early morning.
June 16, 2011 7:14 pm at 7:14 pm #778805YW Moderator-80Memberwell they are saying that based only on previous trends, i dont know if they have any advance data on that
June 16, 2011 7:17 pm at 7:17 pm #778806YW Moderator-80Memberthey are also predicting, based on previous trends, a wide variation in weather around the globe tomorrow
June 16, 2011 7:18 pm at 7:18 pm #778807deiyezoogerMemberThey predict that the darkness will come from the east to the west, and in some eastern parts of the globe its already getting dark.
June 16, 2011 7:19 pm at 7:19 pm #778808YW Moderator-80Membersounds scary
June 16, 2011 7:22 pm at 7:22 pm #778809Pac-ManMemberBut there’s a light at the end of the night.
June 16, 2011 7:24 pm at 7:24 pm #778810deiyezoogerMemberThe National Weather Service is advising people who suffer from DAS (Darkness Anexity Syndrom) should remain in lighted rooms during the night or be in a state of consiousness otherwise known as sleeping.
June 16, 2011 7:30 pm at 7:30 pm #778811ZeesKiteParticipantI’d like to rename some previous threads:
Pony weathers
Yet another weather issue
Share your worst weather ever
Re Weather Only Job Ads In Frum Community
Jewish Frum Orgs Need Address Weather Only Job Ads
will you weather me?
Weather Crises in Cars
.. All weather related
June 16, 2011 7:48 pm at 7:48 pm #778812LuvMeMemberthey say over the next two and a half/three months will be very warm (northern hemisphere). Anyone who doesn’t like the heat should head down south for the summer.
June 16, 2011 8:10 pm at 8:10 pm #778813APushetaYidParticipantLatest research came out.. that the people who study this weather tend to be bored!
June 16, 2011 9:16 pm at 9:16 pm #778814deiyezoogerMember“Latest research came out.. that the people who study this weather tend to be bored!”
or overworked and too exusted to post anything that you need to use your brain.
June 17, 2011 12:29 am at 12:29 am #778815deiyezoogerMemberThe first flakes of darkness just started falling in the New York metro area.
June 17, 2011 2:46 am at 2:46 am #778816minyan galMemberDZ: I hope you have candles ready.
Pac-Man: I believe there is only light at the end of the tunnel – or does this information belong in the Engineering thread??
Zees: Are you at liberty to divulge who advised you to begin this fascinating thread?
I have just noticed that as it is becoming darkish here, the sky is a little bit red. I believe that is a “sailor’s delight”.
June 17, 2011 2:51 am at 2:51 am #778817ronrsrMemberWill school be cancelled tomorrow?
June 17, 2011 4:05 am at 4:05 am #778818ZeesKiteParticipantminyan gal:
Yes, this very fascinating idea came from you, while exercising on my threadmill. Thanks for the counsel, counselor.
June 17, 2011 4:52 am at 4:52 am #778819koillel101MemberI heard that there are supposed to be many strong, violent thunderstorms thoughout the night and into tomorrow. I think anyone who doesn’t ‘have’ to go out, shouldn’t.
June 17, 2011 4:31 pm at 4:31 pm #778820ZeesKiteParticipantSo, will there be weather over Shabbos?
June 17, 2011 5:47 pm at 5:47 pm #778821APushetaYidParticipantI heard it’s the latest to speak to your mother in law about the weather 😉 someone even told me it prevents fights!
June 17, 2011 7:16 pm at 7:16 pm #778822deiyezoogerMember“Will school be cancelled tomorrow?”
They were about to cancel school, but by the time morning came around there was no sign of darkness anymore (I guess the mayor did a great job this time) so all the kids arived in school realy disapointed.
June 19, 2011 5:18 am at 5:18 am #778823giggle girlParticipanttomorrow’s weather: possibly sunny, perhaps a bit cloudy, a chance of thunderstorms, and for all we know, it may just snow tomorrow! we have as good a guess as the weathermen because only Ha-Shem knows for sure what tomorrow may bring!
June 19, 2011 9:36 am at 9:36 am #778824Shticky GuyParticipantA team of scientists sat all night in an emergency meeting trying to work out where the sun had disappeared to. Eventually it dawned on them.
June 19, 2011 12:34 pm at 12:34 pm #778825minyan galMemberWell, I just checked the Weather Channel. There is a picture of the sun with raindrops beside it. So………..it will be sunny with a chance of rain OR rainy with a chance of sun. Now, I feel that I know as much as I did prior to checking the TV. Do I wear shorts and carry a large umbrella or do I wear a rain slicker and carry a parasol? As if there weren’t enough decisions to make every day without having the National Meteorology Service interfering. Zees: I am not so sure this was a good idea – just gives me more to consider before leaving the house. Of course, I could just stay in bed all day and not have to worry about what to wear. Now, that is a plan.
June 19, 2011 3:47 pm at 3:47 pm #778826ZeesKiteParticipantminyan gal
I just plan for weather. Whatever it may be, I’m ready. I turn on the news and hear there’s going to be weather, so I prepare for it.
Shticky: Was that the famous pose in the “SITuation room”?
June 20, 2011 4:26 am at 4:26 am #778827giggle girlParticipantA mentch tracht un Gut lacht! so plan all you want but guess what, if you do plan, plan for the best and the worst and anything in between. you never know!
June 20, 2011 3:24 pm at 3:24 pm #778828ZeesKiteParticipantgiggle girl:
Are you indicating there may not be weather today?
June 20, 2011 3:29 pm at 3:29 pm #778829Avram in MDParticipantminyan gal,
Well, I just checked the Weather Channel. There is a picture of the sun with raindrops beside it. So………..it will be sunny with a chance of rain OR rainy with a chance of sun.
Precipitation forecasts are probabilistic due to uncertainty. Behind that sun with raindrops (understandably confusing – not the National Weather Service’s fault, though, rather the Weather Channel’s) is a forecast that might read something like:
Today: Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. High in the upper 80s.
What this forecast means is that at any given location in the forecast area, there is a 4 in 10 chance of getting rain, and the possibility of this rain will start around 3pm. It’s not as satisfying as a simple yes or no to the “will it rain” question, but when dealing with summer time convective patterns, some areas will get rained on while others do not, so this is the best forecast possible.
These forecasts can still be used for decision making. For example, I usually carry a small umbrella in my bag on weekdays. If the rain chances are 50% or more, I might consider bringing a larger umbrella that I have to carry by hand, or a poncho that takes up space in my bag. If the rain chances are 80% or above, perhaps I’d drive instead of walking, or reschedule outdoor plans, etc.
I definitely recommend reading the text portion of the forecasts… you get much more information than from the cartoon sun and clouds.
June 20, 2011 3:52 pm at 3:52 pm #778830ShrekParticipanteveryone talks about the weather but no one ever does anything about it.
June 20, 2011 3:57 pm at 3:57 pm #778832giggle girlParticipantnope! just that you can’t really plan! one day they predict rain and it’s sunny. the next day they say we’ll see sunshine and it’s storming! so good luck with your planning!
June 20, 2011 7:17 pm at 7:17 pm #778833deiyezoogerMemberThe whole purpose of the weather is to have a topic of conversation.
June 20, 2011 7:50 pm at 7:50 pm #778834minyan galMemberActually, I have been thinking that being a meteorologist would be a great profession. One of the few jobs you could have that being wrong won’t cause you to lose your job. I wonder if managers even have to do annual performance appraisals (or whatever they call them nowadays). What can they say to their employees – “you were right too often so we will have to let you go.” Hmmm, perhaps I should consider returning to school. I would only be about 70 when I graduate.
June 20, 2011 8:36 pm at 8:36 pm #778835Avram in MDParticipantOne of the few jobs you could have that being wrong won’t cause you to lose your job. I wonder if managers even have to do annual performance appraisals
Actually, any forecast can be quantitatively verified, so managers can indeed see who is skillful and who is not.
The problem is, meteorologists issue probabilistic forecasts (50% chance of rain) that the public interprets as deterministic (it WILL rain), so when it doesn’t rain, the meteorologist is “wrong.” Better communication of forecast data to the public is a big concern of meteorologists.
Given the Alabama tornadoes a while back as an example, meteorologists in Norman, OK, indicated a risk for a severe weather/tornado outbreak 5 days in advance. The day of the outbreak, they issued a “high risk” outlook for violent tornadoes, and issued “Particularly Dangerous Situation” tornado watches. When the tornadoes developed, I think there was an average of more than 20 minutes of warning before the storms arrived. I’d say that was a pretty good forecasting job.
I’ll admit though, I am biased.
June 21, 2011 12:20 am at 12:20 am #778836gefenParticipantin the school where i work, there is a sign that says “today’s forecast – sunny with a 100% chance of learning”
June 21, 2011 12:44 am at 12:44 am #778837deiyezoogerMemberMost time the meteorologist just passes the info he gets, kind like your local reporter will pass on to you an AP report.
June 21, 2011 2:38 am at 2:38 am #778838minyan galMemberAvram: Am I correct in assuming that you are a meteorologist?
June 21, 2011 3:49 am at 3:49 am #778839giggle girlParticipanthey look everyone!!! it’s snowing outside!!! oh wait…. never mind… it’s only cottonseed. oh well!
June 21, 2011 3:23 pm at 3:23 pm #778840Avram in MDParticipantminyan gal,
Avram: Am I correct in assuming that you are a meteorologist?
Yes. I am not a television weathercaster, however, nor do I work for a television or radio station.
June 21, 2011 3:46 pm at 3:46 pm #778841ZeesKiteParticipantJust curious.
Where do meteorologists go when there’s no weather? They can’t go to the beach, it needs calm WEATHER.
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