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December 14, 2018 7:44 am at 7:44 am #16447542scentsParticipant
âHow does the above evidence rule out optionB?â
Children with a genetic predisposition despite having a higher rate of being diagnosed with autism, MMR shot did not play a factor, in fact, this specific group when vaccinated actually had a slightly lower rate of autism.
There are multiple studies that all conclude the same, groups that have not received the MMR shot have the exact same or very similar rate of autism. Receiving the MMR shot had no effect on being diagnosed with autism.
So if those with autism had âvariable xâ and the MMR vaccine together with âvariable xâ was the cause for the autism, this would mean that both groups, the vaccinated and unvaccinated would have a similar number of children with variable x, yet just the group that received the MMR vaccines would have children diagnosed with autism.
First off, at times this is a limitation of a retrospective study, you can always claim there were other unknown possible variables, however, in this case, this is not possible, as the autistic children actually had a lower vaccination rate.
The study took 95 thousand children, of those that were diagnosed with autism, they found no correlation between being vaccinated and not being vaccinated, no correlation between at what age the vaccine was given.
December 14, 2018 12:54 pm at 12:54 pm #1644821MilhouseParticipantIf ânormalâ and âtypicalâ are not exact synonyms, theyâre very close to it. Each is included in the otherâs dictionary definition. I suppose âtypicalâ is a little narrower than ânormalâ. For instance, one could say that although left-handedness in humans is atypical, it is within the normal range. But by any definition autism is abnormal.
December 14, 2018 1:00 pm at 1:00 pm #1644828doomsdayParticipantHow Tobacco Industry Hired Scientists and Doctors to Hide that Smoking Causes Cancer
A History of Tobacco Industry Tactics: Study by Allan M Brandt, PhD (excerpts)
Confronted by compelling peer-reviewed scientific evidence of the harms of smoking, the tobacco industry, beginning in the 1950s, used sophisticated public relations approaches to undermine and distort the emerging science.
the tobacco industry would launch a new strategy, largely unprecedented in the history of US industry and business: it would work to erode, confuse, and condemn the very science that now threatened to destroy its prized, highly popular, and exclusive product.
The tobacco industryâs program to engineer the science relating to the harms caused by cigarettes marked a watershed in the history of the industry. It moved aggressively into a new domain, the production of scientific knowledge, not for purposes of research and development but, rather, to undo what was now known: that cigarette smoking caused lethal disease. If science had historically been dedicated to the making of new facts, the industry campaign now sought to develop specific strategies to âunmakeâ a scientific fact.
produced a compendium of statements by physicians and scientists who questioned the cigaretteâlung cancer link.
the best public relations approach was for the industry to become a major sponsor of medical research
1953 Tobacco Ad: We accept an interest in peopleâs health as a basic responsibility, paramount to every other consideration in our business. We believe the products we make are not injurious to health. We always have and always will cooperate closely with those whose task it is to safeguard the public health
If science now threatened the industry, the industry must âsecureâ science.
Tobacco Ad:It is an obligation of the Tobacco Industry Research Committee at this time to remind the public of these essential points:
1. There is no conclusive scientific proof of a link between smoking and cancer.
2. Medical research points to many possible causes of cancer⊠.
5. The millions of people who derive pleasure and satisfaction from smoking can be reassured that every scientific means will be used to get all the facts as soon as possible.Another strategy deployed throughout the 1950s by the firm was to learn about new scientific findings and consensus reports and to be ready to attack when they were released.
It [Congress] was terrain that greatly favored the tobacco industry, with its lobbying largesse and the strong geopolitical interests of tobacco-growing states.
Trust in science, confidence in the media, and the social responsibility of the corporate enterprise were all substantially harmed by Hill & Knowltonâs efforts on behalf of the tobacco industry.
Conflicts of interestâsuch as those invented by the tobacco industryâhave the potential to undermine and corrupt the scientific enterprise
In their work to control the science, the companies had also found that they had secured considerable advantages in the realms of media, law, and public opinion.
December 14, 2018 3:04 pm at 3:04 pm #1644870HealthParticipantdoomsday -âHow Tobacco Industry Hired Scientists and Doctors to Hide that Smoking Causes Cancerâ
Now that we know Smoking causes cancer â did most people stop? Or did it stop a lot of people from Starting to smoke?
âit would work to erode, confuse, and condemn the very science that now threatened to destroy its prized, highly popular, and exclusive product.â
So youâre saying the Anti-vaxxers do the SAME THING!
December 15, 2018 7:55 pm at 7:55 pm #1645064đRebYidd23ParticipantMilhouse, you clearly donât understand what loaded language is.
December 15, 2018 7:55 pm at 7:55 pm #1645059000646ParticipantBeis Hillel,
You said âAre you aware that the personal physician to Queen Elisabeth is a homeopath.â. Assuming this is true all it does is bolster my opinion that Queen Elizabeth is an idiot. Which isnât surprising considering that she has spent her whole life playing âmonarchâ and the amount of inbreeding in royal families. Again the reason these remedies arenât simply called âmedicineâ is because they have not been proven to work. Remedies that have been scientifically proven to work are called âMedicineâ.
Doomsday,
All of your comparisons to the tobacco industry are missing the point that in spite of all their efforts it was never the consensus of the scientific community in the USA let alone the world that smoking was healthy. You positing that the entire scientific community and every major health agency on earth in every single country are engaged in a giant conspiracy. This requires a lot more proof then you are presenting in order to be credible.
December 15, 2018 9:57 pm at 9:57 pm #1645113keej123Participant2cents,
Correction noted for JAMA study.
Group A â No Sibling ASD, Yes MMR (5 yrs)
86,063 children
792 Autistic (860 Ă .92)
1:108 Autism diagnosis ratio
â-
Group B â No Sibling ASD, No MMR (5 yrs)7,735 children
68 Autistic (860 Ă .08)
1:113 Autism diagnosis ratio
â
Both groups seemingly within equal range â with or without MMR.Hereâs where this all goes to potâŠ
What caused Autism in group B? âUnidentified Factor Zâ
At what ratio does âFactor Zâ cause Autism? Letâs think a secâŠ
Who is at risk for âFactor Zâ? (Brace for impactâŠ)
Everyone! 93,798 children (MMR shot doesnât reduce risk for âFactor Zâ)
Risk for âFactor Zâ = 93,798 children
Who developed âFactor Zâ Autism = 68 children
93,798 â 792 (MMR Autistic children) = 93006
93006 Ă· 68 = 1,367
âFactor Zâ Autism Diagnosis ratio:
1 out of every 1,367 children
vs.
MMR Autism Diagnosis ratio:
1 out of every 108 MMR vaccinated children
True?
December 16, 2018 12:24 am at 12:24 am #1645167â DaasYochid âParticipantWho developed âFactor Zâ Autism = 68 children
From group B
+ 792 from Group A
= 860December 16, 2018 6:50 am at 6:50 am #1645202Yserbius123Participantputs on doomsday voice
Folks, here we see how anti-vaxxers like doomsday LIED about vaccines causing autism. Doomsday said several times that there were over 150 studies linking vaccines to autism. Wow, big evidence, yeah?
NO
Thatâs a lie and there arenât anystudies. WHICH DOOMSDAY KNOWS because she read the website I posted which debunked that sheker!!!!!
December 16, 2018 6:51 am at 6:51 am #1645227bais hillelParticipant00646: You said âAre you aware that the personal physician to Queen Elisabeth is a homeopath.â. Assuming this is true all it does is bolster my opinion that Queen Elizabeth is an idiot. Which isnât surprising considering that she has spent her whole life playing âmonarchâ and the amount of inbreeding in royal families. Again the reason these remedies arenât simply called âmedicineâ is because they have not been proven to work. Remedies that have been scientifically proven to work are called âMedicineâ.
As opposed to your opinion about the mental health of Queen Elizabeth, I think this bolsters my opinion that she is highly intelligent especially as regards to the health of herself and her family. Maybe her longevity maybe attributed to the fact that she does not use the âReal Medicineâ of Big Phama to poison herself.
Even though homeopathy is not focus of this thread, itâs obvious that those that disagree with the consensus of the âherdâ is automatically labeled âidiotâ ânutâ cultist etc. etc. Itâs my way or highway.
There is no real dialog or intelligent discussion here on the subject of vaccines, but who can come up with a better insult towards the opposing view.
Shame on you.December 16, 2018 9:44 am at 9:44 am #1645352Some Common SenseParticipantCan we raise this discussion from accusing people of lying to a discussion of medical experts and Daâas Torah? The pears are really great; try some.
December 16, 2018 10:07 am at 10:07 am #1645365â DaasYochid âParticipantThere is no real dialog or intelligent discussion here on the subject of vaccines, but who can come up with a better insult towards the opposing view.
You mean like calling all in favor of vaccines liars multiple times?
I must have missed where you said âShame on youâ to Doomsday for that.
December 16, 2018 11:01 am at 11:01 am #1645387HealthParticipantbais hillel -âThere is no real dialog or intelligent discussion here on the subject of vaccines, but who can come up with a better insult towards the opposing view.â
Sorry to inform you, but you obviously havenât read YWN news or the CR! There are numerous articles that discuss the Halacha & medical aspects of vaxxing.
âItâs my way or highway.â
Yes, thatâs obvious how the Anti-vaxxers feel.
Because almost all those articles say why Halachally & medically e/o should VAXX!December 16, 2018 12:06 pm at 12:06 pm #1645456poilkjParticipant@Health, I was waiting for an answer as to why you attacked what I said but maybe you never saw what I posted because itâs no longer here. So Iâm reposting now:
@ Health: Another Anti-vaxxer Lie!
Thatâs Not why they switched DTP to TDaP.
From NVIC:
âDPT vaccine is a combination of three inactivated bacterial vaccines: diphtheria, pertussis and tetanus. There are many different forms and combinations of these vaccines licensed for use in the United States.âNot sure why you are attacking what I wrote, the DPT was live virus and changed to acellular. The NVIC is explaining that these vaccines can come in different combinations and forms (Dtap, Tdap, a combo with polio and Hib, etc depending on the manufacturer.) I did not elaborate on why they did it, but here is the reason:
link removed
Due to the possible reactogenicity of the whole-cell pertussis component of the DTP vaccine, acellular pertussis (aP) vaccine was developed as a replacement in 1991 (DTP became DTaP). This new vaccine was administered to children in 1992 [7,8] and then phased into the infant immunization schedule beginning in 1997 [9,10], following approval by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and recommendations by the U.S. Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP).There was a lot of noise about whether the DTP was causing reactions -there were some documentaries, news reports and a number of lawsuits which led to vaccine manufacturers threatening to stop supplying vaccines. So the government removed liability and created the vaccine court, etc. So the companies worked on developing an acellular vaccine, (I think Japan succeeded in producing one first, but I would have to look it up again) and once they had it, they phased it into the schedule. If you want to look up the whole megilla about it, here is a nice paper from the IOM:
link removed
Without going into this whole history lesson, my point was the acellular polio, and the acellular Dtap, have the chisaron of not preventing transmission, which can complicate things because we think we are doing our bit for society getting a vaccine before coming in contact with newborns, but if we are exposed to pertussis, instead of coughing, feeling lousy and knowing we should stay away, we think weâre fine and can potentially bring the virus to the most vulnerable. ( link removed Acellular pertussis vaccines protect against disease but fail to prevent infection and transmission in a nonhuman primate model.)
December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645452doomsdayParticipantFRAUDULENT STUDY, Cited by 2cents, that claims to prove that MMR does NOT cause Autism:
This Study titled: âAutism Occurrence by MMR Vaccine Status Among US Children With Older Siblings With and Without Autismâ was FRAUDULENT and I will SHOW you WHY this Study is Fraudulent:
1. The Study found some Children who did not get MMR who have Autism. This is used to PROCLAIM:
âPROOFâ that MMR does not cause Autism! THAT IS CRAZY. It is like saying:
âNON SMOKERS also get Cancer! PROOF THAT SMOKING DOES NOT CAUSE CANCER!UmmmâŠ.NO!
All it proves is that Smoking is NOT the ONLY Cause of Cancer. And all this study proves is that MMR is not the ONLY Cause of Autism.
The Autistic Children got OTHER Vaccines and the OTHER Vaccines are the probable cause of their Autism!2. The study did NOT say what OTHER Vaccines the Autistic Children got and OTHER Vaccines may have caused their Autism. Hiding what OTHER Vaccines (besides MMR) the Children got is Fraud!
3. Study is INVALID because of âHealthy User Biasâ: In a REAL SCIENTIFIC study the âNo MMRâ group would be RANDOM because parents of Healthy âNormalâ children are more likely to give children all vaccines including MMR while Parents who see SIGNS OF AUTISM in their child are more likely to STOP VACCINATING and NOT give their child the MMR Shot. Therefore, more Autistic children may be concentrated in the âNo MMR Groupâ even if their Autism was caused by OTHER vaccines. This will HIDE the MMR-Vaccine Connection.
4. The Researchers in the Fraudulent Study ACKNOWLEDGE âHealthy User Biasâ and then DELIBERATELY proclaim a Fraudulent âConclusionâ anyway! Quote from Researchers in the Fraudulent Study:
âthis pattern is driven by selective parental decision making around MMR immunization, i.e., parents who notice social or communication delays in their children decide to forestall immunization. Because, as a group, children with recognized delays are likely to be at higher risk of ASD, such selectivity could result in a tendency for some higher-risk children to be âunexposedâ (to the MMR). â Gee, Do you think?!?!
5. This Study was done by âThe Lewin Groupâ which receives Much $$$$ from Vaccine Industry for âConsultationsâ. This CONFLICT OF INTEREST was NOT mentioned in the Study which = FRAUD!
6. The Study FRAUDULENTLY calls children who did not get MMR âUNVACCINATEDâ even though the children may have gotten 23 OTHER Vaccines! Newspapers & Organizations repeated this LIE with headlines stating:
âNo MMR-Autism Link in Large Study of Vaccinated vs. Unvaccinated Kidsâ Autism Speaks.org
LIE! The study compared Vaccinated Children (including MMR) with Vaccinated Children (excluding MMR)
It was NOT a vaxxed vs unvaxxed Study as the News Media and Organizations Proclaim â deliberately Mislead by the Fraudulent Study using the term âUNVACCINATEDâ to describe children who WERE Vaccinated!!!7. FRAUDULENTLY saying the conclusion was based on 95,000 Children! The researchers looked through Insurance Records of 95,000 Children and found TWENTY-THREE Children who 1. were autistic 2. Had an older sibling who was autistic 3. Did not get MMR Vaccine (but got other vaccines). And then claimed that their PROOF was based on a Study of 95,000 Children when their âProofâ was really based on only 23 Children!
And the Fake News Media & Organizations repeated this LIE that the Proof was based on 95,000 Children.
MORE FRAUD!And Again, The fact that a few VACCINATED Children who did NOT get the MMR have Autism does NOT prove that MMR does not cause Autism. It only Proves that MMR VACCINE is not the ONLY cause of Autism.
Just like Non-Smokers getting Cancer does NOT PROVE SMOKING DOES NOT CAUSE CANCER!Pro Vaxxers, what do you say about the FRAUD committed by this Famous âMMR does not cause Autismâ Study?
December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645453doomsdayParticipant2Cents: The study took 95 thousand children, of those that were diagnosed with autism, they found no correlation between being vaccinated and not being vaccinated, no correlation between at what age the vaccine was given.
Why do you continue to LIE that the â95 thousand children studyâ was between âvaccinated and not being vaccinatedâ when I already pointed out that the study compared VACCINATED Children + MMR with VACCINATED Children excluding MMR?
December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645464doomsdayParticipantYserbius: Post 1644045 Pg. 16:
To remind you of where to do your research:
âą âVaccines and autism: A thorough review of the evidenceâ from the blog âThe Logic of Scienceâ
âą âAbout Those Research Papers Supporting the Vaccine/Autism Linkâ from the blog âVaxopediaâ
Unless youâve read those links, you cannot in all honesty continue to peddle the claim that there exists studies showing a link.Yserbius, I READ your Links. YOUR links PROVE that there ARE studies linking Vaccines to Autism.
1. Vaccines and autism: A thorough review of the evidence it states âIndeed, you can find numerous websites presenting lists of papers that they claim provide evidence that autism is caused by vaccines (such as â124 research papers supporting the vaccine/autism linkâ
so YOUR link, Yserbius says that there ARE 124 Research Papers supporting the Vaccine/autism link!
Your link does not AGREE with those papers, but your link ADMITS that there ARE research papers showing a link between Vaccines and Autism!2. âAbout Those Research Papers Supporting the Vaccine/Autism Linkâ
Yserbius, do you understand ENGLISH??? Your Link says âRESEARCH PAPERS SUPPORTING THE VACCINE/AUTISM LINKâ â that means there ARE Research Papers supporting the Vaccine/Autism Link!!!And if you say there Arenât Research Papers supporting the Vaccine/Autism Link you are a LIAR â and your
OWN links that you told me to read PROVE you are a liar or donât understand English!Folks, What do you think of Yserbiusâ crazy claim that there Arenât any research papers showing a link between vaccines and autism??? Yserbiusâ OWN LINKS prove he is wrong!!!
These ProVaxxers donât even understand basic English! How can you believe anything they say???December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645465doomsdayParticipantPoilkj: Acellular pertussis vaccines protect against disease but fail to prevent infection and transmission in a nonhuman primate model.
ProVaxxers, you see Poilkj provided MORE EVIDENCE that VACCINATED can SPREAD DISEASE!
So why ban Unvaccinated Children from school, when VACCINATED children can ALSO spread Diseases???
December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645469HealthParticipantpoilkj -âAcellular pertussis vaccines protect against disease but fail to prevent infection and transmission in a nonhuman primate model.â
Youâre obviously Not a follower of the CR. Iâve previously posted that Iâm not a Chossid of the DTaP.
I wrote that I felt the only reason that they changed it from DTP, was because of the Anti-vaxxers!December 16, 2018 12:49 pm at 12:49 pm #1645470keej123ParticipantDaasYochid,
Who developed âFactor Zâ Autism = 68 children
âFrom group B
+ 792 from Group A
= 860âYouâre basically saying that this study proves nothing on either wayâŠ
That itself should sober you⊠as you all bashing dooms with this one way up above
Iâm OK if you want to put this study in the junk pile instead of letting me have it.
December 16, 2018 1:26 pm at 1:26 pm #1645504â DaasYochid âParticipantYouâre basically saying that this study proves nothing on either wayâŠ
No Iâm not.
Iâm saying you twisted the results by leaving out numbers.
The results indicate no significant difference in rate of autism between those who received the MMR vaccine and those who didnât (subject to the limitations inherent in a retrospective study).
December 16, 2018 1:39 pm at 1:39 pm #1645510keej123ParticipantDaasYochid,
âIâm saying you twisted the results by leaving out numbers.â
Here are all the numbers:
Group A â No Sibling ASD, Yes MMR (5 yrs)
86,063 children
792 Autistic (860 Ă .92)
1:108 Autism diagnosis ratio
â-
Group B â No Sibling ASD, No MMR (5 yrs)7,735 children
68 Autistic (860 Ă .08)
1:113 Autism diagnosis ratio
âGroup Bâs ratio was calculated unfairly.
Formula: Total kids at risk / total diagnosed cases.
Total kids at risk is the entire group, not just the No-MMR kids.
If things are calculated unfairly, what does it show?
December 16, 2018 1:50 pm at 1:50 pm #1645519â DaasYochid âParticipantHow was it calculated unfairly?
December 16, 2018 2:04 pm at 2:04 pm #1645527HealthParticipantdoomsday -âThe Autistic Children got OTHER Vaccines and the OTHER Vaccines are the probable cause of their Autismâ
Your mistake is you donât know how to read the research. Maybe finish high school and then come to post?
In that study they did compare vaxxed â vaxxed, but you keep writing they didnât compare vaxxed â Nonvaxxed. Read it again & look at the notes, vaxxed to unvaxxed at all, is part of the study/article.December 16, 2018 2:04 pm at 2:04 pm #1645528doomsdayParticipantKeej, if was calculated fairly what would the ratio show? Please show how you made calculations. Thank you.
December 16, 2018 2:05 pm at 2:05 pm #1645532keej123ParticipantFormula for calculating the ratio is:
Total kids at risk Ă· total diagnosed.
Who exactly in this group is at risk to develop autism from the unidentified cause?
Just the no-MMR group, or everyone?
Last I checked, MMR protect for Measles, Mumps, and Rubella, not random Autism.
So the whole 95,000 kids are the total risk number for random Autism.
yet, the study acts as if only no-MMR kids are the total risk number for Random Autism.
Making sense?
December 16, 2018 2:08 pm at 2:08 pm #1645543keej123ParticipantDooms, see #1645113 above
December 16, 2018 2:42 pm at 2:42 pm #1645580MenoParticipantKeej,
Making sense?
Itâs really not, and the fact that you donât see the flaw in your logic is truly mind boggling.
December 16, 2018 2:45 pm at 2:45 pm #1645577doomsdayParticipantKeeJ: âFactor Zâ Autism Diagnosis ratio:
1 out of every 1,367 children vs. MMR Autism Diagnosis ratio:
1 out of every 108 MMR vaccinated children.
True?So are you saying that the ratio of children with autism who DID NOT get MMR is really 1:1,367 and
the ratio of children with autism who DID get MMR is 1:108?
And that shows that MMR Vaccination DOES INCREASE THE RATE OF AUTISM, Correct, Keej123?December 16, 2018 3:54 pm at 3:54 pm #1645589doomsdayParticipantHealth: âYour mistake is you donât know how to read the research. Maybe finish high school and then come to post?âŠ..In that study they did compare vaxxed â vaxxed, â
No, YOU do not know how to read research. In your defense, the research paper tries to DELIBERATELY mislead you that it is a vaxxed vs unvaxxed study. The Study clearly states that they are comparing children who GOT the MMR with Children who did NOT get the MMR! Nowhere does the paper say it is comparing children who are VACCINATED with children who are 100% UNVACCINATED. If that WAS what the paper is talking about, then why single out MMR Vaccine? Why not just say we did a Vaxxed vs Unvaxxed Study?
The paper says it compared children who got MMR with children who did NOT get MMR. The paper does NOT say what OTHER vaccines the children got â even though the researchers KNOW that information, it was deliberately HIDDEN. The FRAUDULENT Paper refers to children who did not get MMR Vaccine as âUNVACCINATEDâ â even if those children got 23 OTHER Vaccines! This is a COMMON FRAUD that Government Officials and FRAUDULENT Researchers do! Here is another example of this FRAUD
âOne hundred and eighty kids â this really hit me hard as the father of three kids â died last year from the flu. And the majority of them were unvaccinated,â said US Surgeon General Dr. Jerome M. Adams. speaking at a news conference hosted by the National Foundation for Infectious Diseases on Thursday. âFlu vaccinations save lives.â
Health, the US SURGEON GENERAL LIED that Majority of 180 kids who died of Flu were âUNVACCINATEDâ when ALL the children who died of the Flu WERE VACCINATED. Just Majority did not get ONE Vaccine â Flu â so they were falsely labeled UNVACCINATED Children. And that is what that FRAUDULENT Research study did as well!
So HEALTH, YOU SHOULD LEARN TO READ RESEARCH!!! There were many EXPERTS who wrote articles online debunking that study and they pointed out that the study FRAUDULENTLY called children who didnât get MMR âUnvaccinatedâ even though they may have gotten 23 OTHER Vaccines!!!December 16, 2018 3:54 pm at 3:54 pm #1645603keej123ParticipantDooms,
<i>So are you saying that the ratio of children with autism who DID NOT get MMR is really 1:1,367</i>
No,
Iâm saying that the ratio of children who are legitimately at risk for regular autism is 1:1,367 vs. the ratio for the risk of MMR autism is 1:108
Weâre trying to calculate risk vs. risk, and therefore must include the full MMR group in order to accurately calculate the risk for regular autism.
You need to look past getting MMR vs. not getting MMR because the risk extends past that point. or else, youâd be excluding 86,000 children who were really part of that risk.
better, meno?
December 16, 2018 3:54 pm at 3:54 pm #1645605keej123Participantdooms,
yes, this study seems to indicate that MMR increases the risk of autism from 1:1,367 to 1:108
December 16, 2018 4:22 pm at 4:22 pm #1645624MenoParticipantKeej,
According to your logic, you should include every person on Earth in the group of people at risk for regular autism.
Youâre looking at two separate groups and comparing the ratios of each group. You canât take numbers from one group and use them in the calculations for the other group.
This just seems blatantly obvious to me. Am I crazy? Am I missing something?
December 16, 2018 5:08 pm at 5:08 pm #1645646keej123ParticipantMeno,
That is the exact deception within this study.
We need to honest compare the risk ratio of MMR autism vs. risk of regular Autism.
In other words, how many doors does the Regular Autism need to knock on , before it gets allowed inside?
Now count all the doors that were knocked on by Regular Autism.
Regular Autism knocked on all the doors of the entire group, so thatâs the risk ratio. You canât exclude doors just because they got a vaccine.
December 16, 2018 5:13 pm at 5:13 pm #1645656MenoParticipantKeej,
If group B consisted of only 1000 children, and 10 were autistic, what would you conclude from that study?
December 16, 2018 5:36 pm at 5:36 pm #1645660keej123ParticipantI canât make a conclusion without knowing who was actually at risk to begin with.
How many are in group A?
How many in group A are Autistic?December 16, 2018 6:29 pm at 6:29 pm #1645677keej123ParticipantI can also group them by who was wearing green socks and who was wearing blue socks.
Neither socks, or MMR status is an indicator of the actual risk.
December 16, 2018 6:42 pm at 6:42 pm #1645710â DaasYochid âParticipantWe donât know whoâs at risk more than others.
So they compared those with an alleged risk factor with those who donât have that alleged risk factor and the results indicated that the alleged risk factor didnât make a significant difference.
Make sense?
December 16, 2018 6:43 pm at 6:43 pm #1645711â DaasYochid âParticipantNeither socks, or MMR status is an indicator of the actual risk.
Because the risk has nothing to do with either one, right?
December 16, 2018 6:43 pm at 6:43 pm #1645713â DaasYochid âParticipantIf group B consisted of only 1000 children, and 10 were autistic, what would you conclude from that study?
That sock color causes autism
December 16, 2018 6:46 pm at 6:46 pm #1645718â DaasYochid âParticipantAm I crazy?
Sorry, not enough data.
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December 17, 2018 2:48 am at 2:48 am #1645773HealthParticipantMs. Doomsday -âThe Study clearly states that they are comparing children who GOT the MMR with Children who did NOT get the MMR! Nowhere does the paper say it is comparing children who are VACCINATED with children who are 100% UNVACCINATED. â
Thatâs what happens when you donât even have a High School education!
Thatâs why I wrote this -âlook at the notes, vaxxed to unvaxxed at all, is part of the study/article.â
Itâs more than just â comparing children who GOT the MMR with Children who did NOT get the MMR!December 17, 2018 3:48 am at 3:48 am #1645781bais hillelParticipantIâd like to present a study that may interest the pro vaxxers.
The study published in the Lancet by Dr. Peter Aaby and other associates is titled:
The Introduction of Diphtheria-Tetanus-Pertussis and Oral Polio Vaccine Among Young Infants in an Urban African Community: A Natural Experiment
The following is an abstract of this study:
âąWhen DTP and OPV were introduced in Guinea-Bissau in 1981, allocation by birthday resulted in a natural experiment of being vaccinated early or late.
âąBetween 3 and 5 months of age, children who received DTP and OPV early had 5-fold higher mortality than still unvaccinated children.
âąIn the only two studies of the introduction of DTP and OPV, co-administration of OPV with DTP may have reduced the negative effects of DTP.Few studies have examined what happened to child survival when DTP and OPV were introduced in low-income countries. These vaccines were introduced in 1981 in an urban community in Guinea-Bissau from 3â months of age in connection with 3-monthly weighing sessions. Children were therefore allocated by birthday to receive vaccines early or late between 3 and 5â months of age. In this natural experiment vaccinated children had 5-fold higher mortality than not-yet-DTP-vaccinated children. DTP-only vaccinations were associated with higher mortality than DTPâ +â OPV vaccinations. Hence, DTP may be associated with a negative effect on child survival.
Abstract
BackgroundWe examined the introduction of diphtheria-tetanus-pertussis (DTP) and oral polio vaccine (OPV) in an urban community in Guinea-Bissau in the early 1980s.
MethodsThe child population had been followed with 3-monthly nutritional weighing sessions since 1978. From June 1981 DTP and OPV were offered from 3â months of age at these sessions. Due to the 3-monthly intervals between sessions, the children were allocated by birthday in a ânatural experimentâ to receive vaccinations early or late between 3 and 5â months of age. We included children who were <6â months of age when vaccinations started and children born until the end of December 1983. We compared mortality between 3 and 5â months of age of DTP-vaccinated and not-yet-DTP-vaccinated children in Cox proportional hazard models.
ResultsAmong 3â5-month-old children, having received DTP (±OPV) was associated with a mortality hazard ratio (HR) of 5.00 (95% CI 1.53â16.3) compared with not-yet-DTP-vaccinated children. Differences in background factors did not explain the effect. The negative effect was particularly strong for children who had received DTP-only and no OPV (HRâ =â 10.0 (2.61â38.6)). All-cause infant mortality after 3â months of age increased after the introduction of these vaccines (HRâ =â 2.12 (1.07â4.19)).
ConclusionDTP was associated with increased mortality; OPV may modify the effect of DTP.
In plain English, Dr. Aaby conclusion was that vaccinated children had at least five times higher mortality rate than unvaccinated children.
As a service to the pro vaxxer posters, Iâd like to anticipate some of your responses to this study, in order to save them from bittul zman.1) Just because some nut decided to make a study unfavorable to vaccines, I donât have to change my blind belief in the guidelines of the infallible CDC.
2) Dr. Aaby is an idiot and moron, whose ancestors are probably in bred Appalachian Mountain people.
3) His mother who is a anti vaxxer influenced his findings.
4) He probably took a geology course in college, which automatically disqualifies him from doing any medical research.
If I missed anything, you are more than welcome to add to the collection.December 17, 2018 9:41 am at 9:41 am #1645928MenoParticipantbais hillel.
What was the sample size in Dr. Aabyâs study?
December 17, 2018 11:41 am at 11:41 am #1645991doomsdayParticipantHealth: Thatâs why I wrote this -âlook at the notes, vaxxed to unvaxxed at all, is part of the study/article.â
Can you please tell me where I can see these notes? They were not included in the study on the
Jama Network. Thank you.December 17, 2018 12:13 pm at 12:13 pm #1646006HealthParticipantdoomsday -âThey were not included in the study on the Jama Networkâ
If you got the article online, look at it, there is little numbers next to some lines. Click on those numbers & the references will pop up!
December 17, 2018 12:50 pm at 12:50 pm #1646025keej123Participantbais hillel,
5) Public health and herd immunity take precedence over the health ans well-being of your own children
6) My Doctor is a Tzaddik and sees thousands of patients per week. If there was any substance to being Anti-vaxx, then he would be. If he isnât thatâs unbreakable proof that itâs all one big bluff. i donât care what you show me.December 17, 2018 1:10 pm at 1:10 pm #1646037keej123Participant7) Measles and chicken pox are more deadly than that. So itâs still worth it.
December 17, 2018 1:24 pm at 1:24 pm #1646042DellpossParticipantbais hillel-
Thanks for posting a study in favor of the measles vaccine.
In the study you cite one of the authors Peter Aaby clearly states THAT MEASLES VACCINE HAS RESULTED IN A LARGER THE EXPECTED REDUCTION IN CHILD MORTALITY according to two studies he has done.
âOne trial of measles-vaccinated and measles-unvaccinated communities in Congo showed a larger than expected reduction in child mortality (Aaby et al., 1981); this observation was subsequently corroborated by community âtrialsâ and before-after studies in several countries (Aaby et al., 1984, Aaby et al., 1993, Aaby et al., 2003a, Holt et al., 1990, Kapoor and Reddaiah, 1991).â
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