I dont think it was predictable. I’ll state a few points that are worth mentioning
1) This was the first time he ever abducted a child. I know they must do their part and look for other victims but they arern;t going to find any. That is what is SO shocking with this case–based on the serial killer nature of his killing (trophies etc…) we should expect to find more bodies–but we wont
2) this was purely a random encounter–Levi was not prowling the streets looking for a little kid that Monday. It just happened.
3) Levi probably had some type of deep buried compulsions that may have been knocking at the surface (reports of him attempting to lure boys) The chance encounter set off a reaction in him that led to the tragedy.
4) he probably did something in their first dialogue to secure Leiby’s trust–something that only a “frum guy” could pull off. Something as innocuous as acknowledging he knows his cheder to even his street or shul. Whatever fear Leiby had at that point was now secured–he was safely in a frum mans hand going to his mother….
5) If you notice from the videos, Levi is walking a few feet ahead of Leiby at all times–a classic “child molester” defense mode. Levi’s thoughts are in overdrive–he has morbid thoughts that are consuming him.
6) He possibly lied to Leiby and told him that he spoke with his mother and said it was okay to go to Monsey. The Monsey trip was a decoy. kind of built him an alibi–he also knew he couldnt bring Leiby in to the house until “after tzais”
7) I think he wanted to sexually abuse Leiby but couldn’t bring him self to do it, he then perhaps tried to drug him so he wouldn’t be aware of what was happening–perhaps he OD’d and Levi panicked and then smothered him.
8) the dismemberment is truly bizarre. But it obviously gave him some thrill, some pleasure and he kept the feet as a trophy or to later dispose of as a decoy.
9) I will say that if he had not gotten caught, then there would have been more victims–how soon, we’ll never know B”H
10) There is something very clear that G-d is telling us. It is so random and bizarre that it has to be from Hashem. I have many ideas and thoughts on what Hashem wants to tell us with the murder of Leiby Kletzky but who am I to say?
Can anyone with some forensic experience please tell me that Leiby was so intoxicated that he didn;t know what was happening…..my heart will rest better knowing that he didn’t suffer too much. I just can’t get the vision out of when Leiby went from being secure in Levi Aron’s hands to being scared and wanting his mommy…..
Hashem Yerachaim