Are the polls skewed?
More and more Democrats appear to be worried that they are.
Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is within the margin of error of Democrat Hillary Clinton in the preponderance of battleground states, and Republicans are suddenly rallying behind him, filling Democrats with anxiety that the vote count could deviate from the polls and produce a Trump victory.
Asked if she bought into the theory that the polls are wrong and Trump might actually be ahead, Democratic strategist Christy Setzer responded: “I do, unfortunately.”
She pointed to Clinton’s decision to advertise in the state of Michigan, which had seemed to be safely out of reach for Trump.
“Look no further than the campaign’s travel schedule and ad buys to see where they’re worried — battleground states that seemed so out of reach for Trump, Clinton stopped advertising in them…and now are on the airwaves again,” Setzer said.
Partisans on both sides of the aisle are sifting through mountains of late-breaking data, looking for evidence that pollsters are erring in their analyses or underestimating one candidate’s support.
Clinton is the favorite heading into Election Day.
While she holds a small lead nationally, the battleground map that gives her some breathing room.
Trump, on the other hand, must run the table on states Mitt Romney won in 2012 – no easy feat, as Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina look like toss-ups. He must also pull an upset victory in a state where Clinton is favored, such as in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, or Nevada.
Trump argues that polls are too heavily weighted in favor of Democrats.
His concerns have been echoed by some Republicans who say that surveys may be overestimating turnout among minority voters, potentially leading Clinton to underperform on Election Day. They also argue that working class white voters who have never before voted might turn out for Trump, potentially boosting him to a surprise victory.
Most experts, however, believe the Clinton turnout machine will be the great equalizer and that talk of a “silent majority” for Trump is fantasy.
They note that in 2012, the polls underestimated President Obama’s support.
Obama and Romney entered Election Day in 2012 separated by only about 1 point in the national polls. Obama cruised to victory by nearly 4 points.
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9 Responses
May the one above take this wicked party and fill them with shame and embarrassment
I agree with #1. The wicked Republicans shall fall along with their counterparts!
More and more Democrats appear to be worried Hillary’s most pressing worry should be how to keep herself out of jail.
Based on the large number of hard-charging comments on YWN, it seems that many frum Yidden are getting too caught up with election hype.
A lot of people out there are convinced that if [fill in the blank] doesn’t win, this country is going to be in for a very big decline. If you ask me, based on the candidates running, the country is already in a state of decline. Is it true that, for better or worse, nations get the leader they deserve?
Somehow the US has managed to survive plenty of bad presidents. The bottom line is that we have to keep in mind that the Ribono Shel Olam is running the show, and leave it up to Him to do the job.
The thing that scares me the most is that Hillary’s closest adviser is that Arab woman, Hula, and if Hillary gets in the USA will be flooded with Syrian “refugees” and become another Germany, England, Belgium, etc. Girls and women won’t be safe, and there will be Arab areas that the police won’t even be able to enter, like in England. Can’t happen in the U.S.A? Really? That’s what the European’s thought.
She might even become Secretary of State and then what will be with Israel? Obama, a Muslem himself, loves her and is hoping to push her into being president in another four years. She grew up in Saudi Arabia and was the head of the Arab Muslem Brotherhood.
H-shem yeracheim aleinu.
Amen!!!!
We have never before had a candidate as thoroughly corrupt as Hillary Clinton. She’s prima facie guilty of massive numbers of federal offenses. It is not proper to say “well, they’re all politicians, and they all lie” or “they’re all crooks”.
There are crooks, and there are ACTUAL CRIMINALS. She is the real thing: if it wasn’t for the fact that her estranged husband was the president, she’d be in jail right now for the things she’s done… continuing to do… and plans to do more of!
The only thing that’s certain about the elections is: Ein Od MilevadO.
Forgetting one big point and this is that if she appoints another liberal to Supreme Court it’s going to impact in many ways