With 16 days to go until November 8, Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 2 percentage points — 43% to 41% — in a four-way race, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll.
Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson saw his support held steady at 7%, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein dipped to 3%.
Unrounded, Trump leads 42.6% to 40.8% — a 1.8-point edge — with Johnson at 7.2% and Stein at 3.3%.
Trump also holds a nearly one-point lead in a two-way matchup — 43.2% to 42.3%.
The IBD/TIPP poll results continue to show a much closer race than most other nationwide polls. Only the Rasmussen poll shows Trump ahead in a four-way contest (by two points). The Real Clear Politics average has Clinton up by 5.9 points. And Clinton leads by an average 5.8 points in the latest two-way matchup polls.
The poll results include responses from 783 likely voters, with a weighted partisan breakdown of 282 Democrats, 226 Republicans, and 259 Independents. The results reflect the rolling average of six days’ worth of polling, with a margin of error of +/- 3.6 percentage points.
(Source: IBD)
Join the official YWN WhatsApp status
3 Responses
Given recent polling disasters (BREXIT, the Colombian referendum, the Israeli election, the announcement a year ago that Bush and Clinton had their nominations wrapped up, etc.), one might argue the polls have at least a 10% margin or error. That means the possible results range from a Democratic landslide (similar to 1964 that would turn the country deep blue for the next generation), a Trump win that would at the least undo the eight years of Democratic rule), or a close election that goes to the House of Representatives with either Johnson or McMullen as possible compromise choices — and of course, all point in beween.
Very hard to believe this poll. Trump is losing nationwide, with sliding numbers. He is not reaching or even appealing to voters beyond his base supporters. So why is Yeshiva World posting such a misleading headline and article?
I think the only Hillary will end up wining (Chas veshalom)would be bec they cheered so I hope Russia monitors the votes!