The following article is currently posted on the Times Online (UK) website:
The Israeli military is preparing itself to launch a massive aerial assault on Iran’s nuclear facilities within days of being given the go-ahead by its new government.
Among the steps taken to ready Israeli forces for what would be a risky raid requiring pinpoint aerial strikes are the acquisition of three Airborne Warning and Control (AWAC) aircraft and regional missions to simulate the attack.
Two nationwide civil defence drills will help to prepare the public for the retaliation that Israel could face.
“Israel wants to know that if its forces were given the green light they could strike at Iran in a matter of days, even hours. They are making preparations on every level for this eventuality. The message to Iran is that the threat is not just words,” one senior defence official told The Times.
Officials believe that Israel could be required to hit more than a dozen targets, including moving convoys. The sites include Natanz, where thousands of centrifuges produce enriched uranium; Esfahan, where 250 tonnes of gas is stored in tunnels; and Arak, where a heavy water reactor produces plutonium.
The distance from Israel to at least one of the sites is more than 870 miles, a distance that the Israeli force practised covering in a training exercise last year that involved F15 and F16 jets, helicopters and refuelling tankers.
The possible Israeli strike on Iran has drawn comparisons to its attack on the Osirak nuclear facility near Baghdad in 1981. That strike, which destroyed the facility in under 100 seconds, was completed without Israeli losses and checked Iraqi ambitions for a nuclear weapons programme.
“We would not make the threat [against Iran] without the force to back it. There has been a recent move, a number of on-the-ground preparations, that indicate Israel’s willingness to act,” said another official from Israel’s intelligence community.
He added that it was unlikely that Israel would carry out the attack without receiving at least tacit approval from America, which has struck a more reconciliatory tone in dealing with Iran under its new administration.
An Israeli attack on Iran would entail flying over Jordanian and Iraqi airspace, where US forces have a strong presence.
Ephraim Kam, the deputy director of the Institute for National Security Studies, said it was unlikely that the Americans would approve an attack.
“The American defence establishment is unsure that the operation will be successful. And the results of the operation would only delay Iran’s programme by two to four years,” he said.
A visit by President Obama to Israel in June is expected to coincide with the national elections in Iran – timing that would allow the US Administration to re-evaluate diplomatic resolutions with Iran before hearing the Israeli position.
“Many of the leaks or statements made by Israeli leaders and military commanders are meant for deterrence. The message is that if [the international community] is unable to solve the problem they need to take into account that we will solve it our way,” Mr Kam said.
Among recent preparations by the airforce was the Israeli attack of a weapons convoy in Sudan bound for militants in the Gaza Strip.
“Sudan was practice for the Israeli forces on a long-range attack,” Ronen Bergman, the author of The Secret War with Iran, said. “They wanted to see how they handled the transfer of information, hitting a moving target … In that sense it was a rehearsal.”
Israel has made public its intention to hold the largest-ever nationwide drill next month.
Colonel Hilik Sofer told Haaretz, a daily Israeli newspaper, that the drill would “train for a reality in which during war missiles can fall on any part of the country without warning … We want the citizens to understand that war can happen tomorrow morning”.
Israel will conduct an exercise with US forces to test the ability of Arrow, its US-funded missile defence system. The exercise would test whether the system could intercept missiles launched at Israel.
“Israel has made it clear that it will not tolerate the threat of a nuclear Iran. According to Israeli Intelligence they will have the bomb within two years … Once they have a bomb it will be too late, and Israel will have no choice to strike – with or without America,” an official from the Israeli Defence Ministry said.
IRAN RESPONDS TO REPORT:
The following report was published by the Jerusalem Post:
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told his nation on Saturday that “no country in the region threatens Iran,” just hours after The London Times published the above report claiming that Israel was preparing to attack targets in Iran within hours of receiving a green light from the government in Jerusalem.
Speaking during a ceremony in Iran’s Army Day, Ahmadinejad said Iran was one of the strongest countries in the region and that “the gall to threaten the Iranian nation was quashed forever.”
“The Iranian nation is ready to become more involved in maintaining order and security based on justice in many regions of the world,” Ahmadinejad said.
His speech on Saturday was much more toned down than Army Day speeches from previous years; in 2006 Ahmadinejad warned that Iran’s army will “cut off the hand of whoever dares attack it.” In 2007 he said “the resistance of the Iranian people will bring down world powers.”
The parade of military equipment on Saturday was also more modest than in previous years. While announcements prior to the parade said 140 jets will fly in formation, only several dozen helicopters dotted the skies of Iran on Saturday. An official explained that weather conditions prevented the jet air maneuvers from taking place.
Shihab and Khader missiles, which are usually driven atop their launching vehicles in the streets of Tehran, were also missing.
But Zilzal missiles, armored personnel carriers, unmanned aircraft and even small submarines surrounded by marching soldiers in diving masks. The forces passed before a stage where Ahmadinejad and top brass were sitting.
5 Responses
Raboisai,
I heard a pshat “Hashem yivoraich es amoi basholom” – if there is peace between the yidden themselves, then Hashem oiz leamoi yeetain” Hashem will give power to them.
It’s totally up to us. Tillim and peace.
Ah Git Voch. ah Freilichen zimmer
Stupid report. Another anti-semitic Brit media incitement article, which had the desired effect.
The Israelis do NOT have the capability to bomb Natanz. And if they can’t take out Natanz, they will not fly the mission.
Ein lanu al mi lismoch ela Avinu Shebashamayim.
israel should once and for all destroy their facilities but at the same time we cannot rely on kochi viotzem yudi to feel safe.
to the secular zionist. its ONLY KOICHI VIOTZEM YUDI. He give no acknowlegement to g-d.
# 4 to the secular zionist. its ONLY KOICHI VIOTZEM YUDI. He give no acknowledgement to g-d.
Comment by minkymalka — April 19, 2009 @ 1:12 am
it is very easy to blame the secular Zionist. they make great whipping boys. can you please tell us what you have done to make the situation better.