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Please vote if you think trumps or kamalas gunnu win and in 2 days from today (Thursday) ima announce the winner of this poll.
I don’t know bout’ yall’ but I know trump is gunnu win the election but hey that’s just me and I’m just curious what yall think.
Define “Jewish” and “vote”? Do you consider assimilated Jews (e.g. people such as Doug Emhoff, and those like him) to be Jews? If so, most will probably vote for Ms. Harris. Polls that rely on self-identification usually count such people as Jews (the Israelis for immigration purposes, not to mention the Nazis for knowing who to murder, also did so), and therefore find most Jews supporting the Democrats.
If you limit predictions to frum Jews, and especially those who live in predominantly Jewish neighborhoods, they have been supporting Republicans for some time on the national level, and considering that Harris is the most openly anti-Jewish candidate to run in modern times and perhaps ever, one doubts that will change.
Trump.
Akuperma,
Who said anything about “Jewish”
OP
Harris (and I voted for Trump)
Either I’m right or I get what I want
Close call but bottom line, I think Trump. My reason is that Trump’s strength is in his rallies. He lost 2020 bec he couldn’t hold rallies.
Harris
akuperma: ” the most openly anti-Jewish candidate ” – where did you get this drivel from??
but I will tell you this – Trump just about said that he will abandon Ukraine. How many weeks you think before he does the same to Israel? You trust that slimeball?I think you need to be reminded that Hashem is the king of Kings ruler of the entire world and all physical messenger ruler’s from presidents to kings and senators etc…. are just actors playing a role that Hashem has sent them as a messenger to run their country but in truth everything is completely run by Hashem. And Hashem has already decided many years ago who will win this election and the next election in 2028 if klal yisroel Chas VShalom is still in golus and hasn’t done serious Teshuva and Achdus together as one loving nation so Hashem can send Mashiach already bkarov.
Didn’t you hear of the famous line of “Lev melochim vesorim byad Hashem”? Yes of course we all need to do our hishtadlus when it comes to elections and go out and vote no matter how small of a chance you think it is and whatever Hashem has already decided who will win this election.
May we all do serious Teshuva and Achdus together as one loving nation so Hashem can send Mashiach already bkarov and this entire Presidential election won’t apply to anyone in Klal yisroel and we can openly have Hashem as our king of Kings from Yerushalayim.
Akuperma: He never said anything about the Jewish vote.
I think Harris is going to win.
Looks like Trump. Betting markets slowly but steadily went from 48% to 63% for T in the last several weeks. It seems that anything that could have been said about him was already said. Ds and their media switched from Nazis to Fascists (term preferred in Marxist circles) showing that they are scrambling for the remaining Commie vote on the far left.
Trump.
@Always_Ask_Questions
The betting odds are not a ראיה at all due to the fact that republicans are more avid betters than democrats. But I still think Trump will win.Betting odds operate based on the majority pick so if majority of betters are republicans and are betting Trump, the odds are gonna be in Trump’s favor.
@anchuldiks
538 has Trump at 52% chance of winningWhat does gunnu mean?
Why aren’t we voting in this poll, because your post is illiterate….
No one is gunnu do anything.There are two elections coming, the plebiscite of the people Nov 5th, the the vote of the Electoral College in December.
Trump has lost the plebiscite twice in a row and I expect him to lose again November 5.
He is 1:2 in the Electoral College.
I expect VP Harris to win the Plebiscite November 5 and hope she also wins the Electoral College election.
> due to the fact that republicans are more avid betters than democrats.
not sure where this is coming from, but I did not study how large and predictive betting markets are. A more proven way would be to look at stock market. There are known industries that will benefit from one of the candidates (T – oil, K – solar, etc). So, looking at their stocks would show you the odds. It does not matter who trades these – there is a lot of money here and a lot of analysis goes into making those bets. I am guessing that election betters simply use stock market analysis to bet. There are some articles that look at that.
Caveat: stock market failed in Trump/Hillary election. Yes, Hillary had 70% chance, which is not that high, but lazy brokers relied on the idea that she’ll win and they did not even bother to analyze Trump’s effect on economy. What happened (my recollection): in the middle of the election night when adds switched to T, stock market futures went down – because everyone wanted to sell pro-H stocks. It took several hours to do analysis of which stocks are pro-T and then futures went up (for several years). Given that failure is still remembered, surely nobody will make same mistake this time around.
Chaim > 538 has Trump at 52% chance of winning
now, 51.2%. This is getting so close to 50.0% that I am sure that my votes will decide the election. Still thinking, in which states I should do that.
PS If voting is a mitzvah, do you say sheyhianu only first time during each election?
AAQ; Your shaila should be directed to Rabbi Mayer Daley.
I have a strong strong feeling these sneaky slimy democrats are scheming to steal this election away from Trump once again; either dead voters or illegal voters, destroying trump supporters vote ballots…
Gd save us.
p.s. what is Trump doing in regard to secure/fair voting to ensure whatever happened last time (2016), doesn’t happen again?Baalhabooze,
Last time was 2020
Still drunk from Purim?
@Baal-habooze
Lay off the booze because it is making you post lies
Trump would love what happened in 2016 to happen again in 2016: he won
The last time was 2020 and he lost.No one stoke the election from him. He lost the popular vote both times.
Every major case about voter fraud went through the courts and found against Trump’s false claims of fraud. Many ruled on by Federal judges he appointed.I have been an election official for decades and from experience there is almost no voter fraud.
Last year I did have to have one potential voter arrested for fraud; a Republican. Who was a convicted felon and ineligible to vote and attempted to vote his father’s name. Both had the same name and address (not a Junior). I had a printout of the felons list from Secretary of State for voting district which included date of birth which matched his drivers license). The attempt to fraudulently vote caused his parole to be revoked and he is back behind bars finishing his original sentence.
So this was a slimy Republican caught“There are two elections coming, the plebiscite of the people Nov 5th, the the vote of the Electoral College in December.
Trump has lost the plebiscite twice in a row and I expect him to lose again November 5.”No republican has won the popular vote since Bush’s reelection, and he took office initially via a popular-vote-loss election. I think there’s a very real possibility that a republican will never take office with the popular vote again, or at least not for a very long time.
In any case, the OP was clearly asking about the vote that actually matters which is the electoral vote. I personally think both will go to Harris. The articles I’ve seen trying to paint a Trump victory have been using various stretches of imagination like pretending that Minnesota might be a toss-up. I also don’t see any compelling evidence that he’ll do any better in Michigan and Wisconsin this time. The only states I think might could flip from last election would be Pennsylvania and Georgia, but I don’t think even that gives him enough.
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