Syag,
> You estimate wrong.
maybe we are not using the same definition of “community”. I mean broader community of 1000s people. Are you saying that among 50 people in your shul several got sick and all survived? Quite plausible. If you are in NY area, the death rate is 0.3%. That is, 3 people per thousand. The chance that everyone survives out of 50 people is 0.997^50 = 86%. If you are approaching herd immunity, your death rate will be 3x= 0.9%. Still, 50 people have 64% chance to have all survivals. Someone in another shul may not be so lucky. Overall, if your claim is correct, there are 6 more people dead out of every 1,000.
So, thanks, I think we see where our different views come from. This virus is indeed confounding human intuition, as any “rate event” does. How often do we see people dying when crossing the street? most – not often. Why do many people still obey traffic laws – a combination of seeing cars coming, being trained over time, and police fines. Imagine that cars are invisible, cars come rarely, and there are no fines. Just, once in a while, someone who is crossing on a red light starts coughing within hours of crossing the lights and gets sick. Will it be easy to make people obey the traffic laws? Probably not. Some will attribute sickness to randomess, others to their lack of tzniyut, others will say – it is just 1 in 1,000, not a big deal.