“Given the historic trend of presidents who manage to crash the economy being defeated for reelection (“it’s the economy stupid”), Trump probably is in big trouble. Regardless of what media say, people ask themselves if they are better off than four years ago, and for most people the answer is “no”, and especially among the working class voters who are the core of Trump’s base.”
Trump actually polled better to the four year question than any president in history, including Reagan, with 56% recently saying they are better off now.
Those who vote against Trump are often voting against an “un-presidential” persona, rather than actual results.