Huju is correct about the death rate increasing. The IHME projections have been right on the money. When they were projecting through August 4, the curve’s slope was decreasing. Now that they’re projecting through October 1, the slope starts to increase starting July 27. They have it back over 1000 daily deaths by September 14 and over 1400 by October 1. Of course, it’s not going to drop to 0 on October 2, so when they project 200,000 deaths by October 1, that could bring us over 240,000 by Election Day, even if the number of daily deaths plateaus after October 1. Trump should be pushing for early voting.
Joseph, can you find a source for your claim that Fauci said the death toll would be “upwards of 240,000?” I’m seeing him saying it would be in range of 100K to 240K. As we see above, he said, “Generally, the reality is somewhere in the middle.”