A low pressure system off the Virginia coast will provide the area with precipitation through Friday. Rain will continue through this evening across the area and will gradually transition to snow after sunset from west to east. In addition, strong winds will prevail overnight and continue through Thursday afternoon. Low temperatures will be around 30 in the interior locations and lower 30s elsewhere.

The slow moving low pressure will track slightly east on Thursday with precipitation still expected across the area. This should fall as all snow through the day and will continue through Thursday night. High temperatures will be in the middle to upper 30s with lows Thursday night in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Gusty winds will also continue through Thursday night and remain elevated through Friday. Snow should end west to east as a rain and snow mix by Friday evening.

Temperatures
Tonight: lows in the lower 30s.
Thursday: highs in the upper 30s; lows in the lower 30s.
Friday: highs around 40; lows in the mid 30s.
Saturday: highs in the lower 50s; lows in the mid 30s.

Timing and Precipitation
Rain and snow can be expected this evening with a changeover to mainly snow later tonight around 10:00 PM to midnight. A total accumulation of 1 inch of wet snow is possible tonight. The chance of precipitation tonight is 90 percent.

Snow is likely on Thursday with ½ inch to 1 inch of snow forecasted throughout the day. Thursday night into Friday morning is when the highest accumulations of snow are expected. 2 to 3 inches of wet snow are forecasted for this timeframe. Chance of snow on Thursday is 70 percent going up to 80 percent Thursday night. Although there’s a chance of snow and rain Friday morning into the afternoon, only a light snow accumulation is expected. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent Friday.

Storm totals from tonight until approximately Friday morning can be up to 3 to 5 inches. NWS expects that the snowfall will remain primarily as wet snow throughout.

Winds
Tonight: WINDY; winds out of the north around 25 MPH and gusts up to 45 MPH.
Thursday: WINDY; winds out of the north at 20 to 25 MPH with gusts up to 45 MPH; winds will continue out of the north Thursday night (breezy) at 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 40 MPH.
Friday: BREEZY; winds out of the north at 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 40 MPH; winds continue to be out of the north Friday night at about 15 to 20 MPH with gusts up to 30 MPH.

Coastal Flooding
Moderate coastal flooding is expected around high tide (e.g. Kings Point 7:00 PM-7:30 PM) with 2 to 4-foot storm surge possible, and 1 to 3-foot inundation above ground level as well, especially for The Bronx and Northern Queens (i.e. western Long Island Sound). Although winds will shift and be primarily out of the north, any northeast winds will have more of a negative impact on the western Long Island Sound with coastal flooding. Widespread minor coastal flooding is expected for the other coastal areas around the city. The next high tide cycle will be around 4:00 AM (e.g. NY Harbor) Thursday morning.

A Coastal Flood Warning remains in effect for the Bronx and northern Queens, and a Coastal Flood Advisory for the same area is in effect from 4:00 AM to 9:00 AM Thursday.
A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for Manhattan, Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Southern Queens from 2:00 AM to 5:00 AM Thursday.
A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect citywide until noon Friday.
A Wind Advisory remains in effect until 6:00 PM Thursday.

(YWN Desk – NYC)